***OFFICIAL GAME THREAD: UF vs LSU***

[Captain Sasquatch]

Joe Burrow hasn’t thrown an interception yet, I think it’s about time we change that.

 

[GR8 2B]

ESPN currently* predicts LSU to finish 11th this season and Florida to finish 13th, each with the same projected record of 8.9 - 3.2.

*rankings are periodically updated through the season and are subject to change

ESPN Football Power Index - 2018 - ESPN

 

[Durfish]

ESPN currently* predicts LSU to finish 11th this season and Florida to finish 13th, each with the same projected record of 8.9 - 3.2.

*rankings are periodically updated through the season and are subject to change

ESPN Football Power Index - 2018 - ESPN

Interesting, because I don't think either team will get there without a win this Saturday.

 

[uhspencer]

Have they said who all from the 2008 team will be in attendance?

 

[soflagator]

Have they said who all from the 2008 team will be in attendance?

Haven't heard, but hopefully most of them. It would be a nice show of solidarity to have the majority of that team there.

Really only one player has a valid reason for not showing, and we didn't want him there anyway.

 

[Renard904]

Really only one player has a valid reason for not showing, and we didn't want him there anyway.

Well, there's a few guys who have games on Sunday that might not be available either.

 

[LagoonGator68]

 

[aka]

I realize it's painful to listen to, but I thought you all might want to see it.

 

[SavannahGator]

According to ESPN's FPI, the only game we lose the rest of the way out is GA. And we even have a 58.4% chance of beating LSU. As much as I hate to say it, if Mullen finishes 10-2 in his first yr, with just that loss to UK and a loss to UGA, I'd take that in a heartbeat.

 

[Durty South Swamp]

Offensive Stat Comparison
Stat LSU.......................... FLA
Yards/Play 5.6................ 6.1
Points/Play 0.469........... 0.525
Completion % 53.57%.... 55.77%
3D Conv % 42.19%....... . 39.13%
RZ Scoring % 88.89%..... 84.62%

Defensive Stat Comparison
Stat LSU.................................. FLA
Opp Yards/Play 4.9................ 4.7
Opp Points/Play 0.260.......... 0.224
Opp Completion % 50.99%... 50.93%
Opp 3D Conv % 39.34%......... 42.86%
Opp RZ Scoring % 90.91%..... 85.71%

Offensive Balance Rush/Pass %
UF..... 53/47
LSU... 60/40

So.. we're better offensively and defensively and have a more balanced attack.
Go Gators!

not to go all Debbie D on this circle jerk, but I'm just gonna throw out the fact that through today, LSU has played two top ten teams away from home and won both games, and also played a team averaging around 40 points a game and held them to 7 (ole piss). We've played a couple teams hovering around .500 and got our butt whipped at home against the only team we actually know at this point is good.

Again, I think we have a good chance. But the stats comparison isnt valid at this point bc they've played far better teams.

 

[rogdochar]

Face it, we're gonna have to pull off an upset win over LSU. To do that either Franks and our WRs will have to carve them up and/or Damean will have to run it down their throats ... or both those payoffs. Is Burrows developing or can our D make him self destruct ?

 

[lagator]

According to ESPN's FPI, the only game we lose the rest of the way out is GA. And we even have a 58.4% chance of beating LSU. As much as I hate to say it, if Mullen finishes 10-2 in his first yr, with just that loss to UK and a loss to UGA, I'd take that in a heartbeat.

It doesn't work that way. You take the percentage likelihood of winning each game going forward and add it up and that's how many wins you are likely to get the rest of the season, then you add that number to the 4 wins you already have and you get the 8.9 wins they are predicting, which mean they currently expect between 8 and 9 wins, more likely 9, not 10-2.

I think the 73% chance of beating Mizzou is way off and still expect that to be a loss because I don't think we are built for a shootout and our inexperience in the backfield will show. I would put us at around 40% chance at best of winning that game and have us right at 8.5 wins expected. If we beat LSU that number goes up, if we lose it goes down.

Of course all of it is just detailed guessing.

 

[ThreatMatrix]

not to go all Debbie D on this circle jerk, but I'm just gonna throw out the fact that through today, LSU has played two top ten teams away from home and won both games, and also played a team averaging around 40 points a game and held them to 7 (ole piss). We've played a couple teams hovering around .500 and got our butt whipped at home against the only team we actually know at this point is good.

Again, I think we have a good chance. But the stats comparison isnt valid at this point bc they've played far better teams.

Now I'm depressed. Thanks Obama.

 

[MJMGator]

It doesn't work that way. You take the percentage likelihood of winning each game going forward and add it up and that's how many wins you are likely to get the rest of the season, then you add that number to the 4 wins you already have and you get the 8.9 wins they are predicting, which mean they currently expect between 8 and 9 wins, more likely 9, not 10-2.

I think the 73% chance of beating Mizzou is way off and still expect that to be a loss because I don't think we are built for a shootout and our inexperience in the backfield will show. I would put us at around 40% chance at best of winning that game and have us right at 8.5 wins expected. If we beat LSU that number goes up, if we lose it goes down.

Of course all of it is just detailed guessing.

I’m worried about Mizzou, too. That’s probably the best QB we’ll face all year and like you said, I don't see us winning many high scoring affairs. Ironically, that’s the game I’m taking my little boy to for his first trip to the swamp, so I hope I’m dead wrong.

 

[ThreatMatrix]

Stats are what you talk about when you suck.

 

[Durty South Swamp]

Now I'm depressed. Thanks Obama.

I laughed

 

[chferg]

not to go all Debbie D on this circle jerk, but I'm just gonna throw out the fact that through today, LSU has played two top ten teams away from home and won both games, and also played a team averaging around 40 points a game and held them to 7 (ole piss). We've played a couple teams hovering around .500 and got our butt whipped at home against the only team we actually know at this point is good.

Again, I think we have a good chance. But the stats comparison isnt valid at this point bc they've played far better teams.

In all fairness Auburn is barely a top 25 team at this point and they needed a quadruple covered receiver to make a fluke play to win. Ole Miss is bad. Like real bad. However yes their competition is better than ours

 

[Nomadigator]

 

[UFHealthGator]

We could easily find ourselves in the MSU fans’ shoes this Saturday: coming up short in a grinder at home.

Unlike MSU we are just coming out of a dumpster fire season while MSU were fielding probably their best team in years. People were even talking about them challenging Alabama in the west before the season started. We on the other hand were hoping for a 8-4 season.

While a win against LSU would be great this year, a loss is not so "damaging". Missisippi state fans are ready to jump of the ledge and fire Moorehead at this stage.

 

[Durty South Swamp]

I said before the game and I'll say it again now. Ms St is a 5 loss team. Using them as some benchmark to determine our readiness to play with and/or beat the big boys is a reach.