Nate Silver's flunkies at 538: Dems have an 85% chance to take the House

Discussion in 'Politics' started by Gator Fever, Oct 16, 2018.

  1. Scott512

    Scott512 Senior Member

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    Partisan Gava? MSM polls are partisan. But in reality no one answers their landline anymore so who knows. But I a 100% sure repubs expand the senate Rasmussen says the repubs have a fair shot to hold the house. So does McLaughlin. They are more legit polls than CBS MSNBC etc. RCP has the house pretty close. The polls were wrong in 16 they need to be wrong again from my point of view.
     
    • TJGator

      TJGator Member

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    • alcoholica

      alcoholica Well-Known Member

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      None of any of this matters if the pollsters continue to call you until you give them the answer they want.
       
    • gardnerwebbgator

      gardnerwebbgator Deplorable
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      Anytime a pollster calls and I respond, I always give the complete opposite answer to what I will really vote.

      **** them all.
       
      • Scott512

        Scott512 Senior Member

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        I will take 57 too. That could help us in certain house races too.
         
      • Gatoravatara

        Gatoravatara Protaganista

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        No they are not partisan. Many good polls have cross partisan polling. So the NBC/WSJ poll wouldnt have any partisan bias, and if it did, ot would lean right. I generally don't have any issues with any pollster except Rasmussen. Im ignoring any polling done in the next week. I think everything is lock in at this point, and since early voting has doubled, any changes to the polls arnt going to be felt as much at the ballot box.
         
      • Gator Fever

        Gator Fever Senior Member

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        Those polls are crooked as hell as they know that lady in AZ is losing in reality but put out that BS hoping it will help change the result. I will be able to tell you on election morning with almost 100% certainty which of their Senate polls have the wrong candidate winning. That is how crooked they are.
         
      • Gator Fever

        Gator Fever Senior Member

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        I see Ole Nate is preparing his excuse for why the polls and his formula might be wrong again. "immigration/xenophobia/race-baiting"
         
        • Ancient Reptile

          Ancient Reptile Senior Member
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          If you really believe that, then this election will be a good test. CNN is showing far more success for Democratic candidates than other polls. They will either be right or wrong and we will know whether they are legit. In fact pitting Rasmussen vs CNN would be an interesting project.
           
          • Ancient Reptile

            Ancient Reptile Senior Member
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            By the way, Avatara, are you backing off your 50-50 prediction yet?
             
            • Swamp Donkey

              Swamp Donkey Ox is a Poor Man's JBoss
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              Hell, he has backed off the internet.

              He may not be seen for months.
               
              • gingerlover

                gingerlover Junior Member
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                The comments are just full of stupid. My favorite is the person who thinks we are now like North Korea with Trump as president and that we all need to escape.
                 
                • Tay Bang

                  Tay Bang I wasn't mean to Byrd

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                  How is one supposed to take this guy’s polling seriously when he is so blatantly partisan?
                   
                  • AugustaGator

                    AugustaGator Junior Member
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                    Thanks to foolish voters.
                     
                  • divits

                    divits A Muffin of the Studly Variety
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                    Looks like the libs are pulling out all the stops for the election. In this case they are working hard to get out the Lane Bryant vote. BTW, I think I found Waldo there in the back right.

                    [​IMG]
                     
                    • Gator Fever

                      Gator Fever Senior Member

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                      He will tell you he just goes by the numbers and using his other stuff with the polls and that the polls aren't biased except for maybe ones done by the parties. Its so easy to see what NBC and them do with polls now but he acts like its conspiracy talk. They try to save face by having their last poll not be pure gaslighting propaganda but they even slant them some usually if the Democrat is trailing.
                       
                    • Gator Fever

                      Gator Fever Senior Member

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                      Millennials Explain Why They're Not Voting: 'I Hate Mailing Stuff. It Gives Me Anxiety.'

                      Millennials Explain Why They're Not Voting: 'I Hate Mailing Stuff. It Gives Me Anxiety.'

                      Samantha, age 22, isn't voting because "2016 was such a disillusioning experience," she's crushed and can't bring herself to believe her vote counts because her chosen candidate lost. She's waiting for a "full progressive candidate." She has a ballot sitting at home because she asked for absentee ballots the last time she voted, but she's not mailing it in. She calls herself an "informed nonvoter."

                      Reese, 23, is "borderline socialist" or was, she's not super sure. "Talking of voting" is "really big" in her circle of friends, but she just can't bring herself to do it.

                      Tim, age 27, does not understand how the post office works. "I tried to register for the 2016 election, but it was beyond the deadline by the time I tried to do it. I hate mailing stuff; it gives me anxiety." He also has "ADHD" which he says makes it impossible to vote because the "payoff is far off in the future or abstract." His friends have told him that's "irresponsible," but he does not care.

                      ------------------------

                      :lol:
                       
                      • Gatoravatara

                        Gatoravatara Protaganista

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                        No i am not.
                         
                      • Gatoravatara

                        Gatoravatara Protaganista

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                        I was working on the eharmony sale. We just sold it to a German company. So now I have more time, now that I have quit my job.
                         
                      • Ancient Reptile

                        Ancient Reptile Senior Member
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                        Congratulations.
                         

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