Predict the Senate

Discussion in 'Politics' started by Ancient Reptile, Oct 27, 2018.

  1. alcoholica

    alcoholica Well-Known Member

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    • Ancient Reptile

      Ancient Reptile Senior Member
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      Good gosh! The poster child for gouging.
       
      #62 Ancient Reptile, Nov 2, 2018
      Last edited: Nov 2, 2018
    • divits

      divits A Muffin of the Studly Variety
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      Sooooo...Manchen's opponent was responsible for Manchen's daughter price gouging and reaping a $19 million salary. Got it.

      :snicker:
       
      • Swamp Donkey

        Swamp Donkey Ox is a Poor Man's JBoss
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        I thought Manchin was safe but I dont know. He is falling like a rock.

        He is also dumb as a rock.
         
        • alcoholica

          alcoholica Well-Known Member

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          I forget which show i was listening to on the radio. Locally, it was either Ingraham, Rush, Hannity, Levin or Savage. Anyway, they mentioned that Manchin was having trouble a couple weeks ago, which is why I kept mentioning the Pubs had a shot. They referred to someone's internal polling numbers. I just hope all the polls follow his 10 pt swing.
           
        • Gatoravatara

          Gatoravatara Protaganista

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          My prediction along with probability that it will occur.

          WV- blue- 70%
          MO- blue- 55%
          MT- blue- 70%
          TX - blue- 51%
          SD. - red - 80%
          FL - blue - 80%
          IN - blue- 65%
          TN- red- 70%
          NJ- blue- 55%
          NV-blue- 70%
          AZ- blue 65%
           
          #66 Gatoravatara, Nov 3, 2018
          Last edited: Nov 3, 2018
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          • Gator Fever

            Gator Fever Senior Member

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            It will probably come down to the wire but some people are claiming they are pretty loyal to politicians in WV once they elect them. Hopefully Trump pushing the other guy pretty hard can get enough people to not vote for Manchin again.
             
          • Gatoravatara

            Gatoravatara Protaganista

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            I dont know why,, but it seems as Manchin isthe only D that can be elected in WV. If the Ds win the Senate by 1 sear, McConnell should offer him a deal to switch.
             
            • Ancient Reptile

              Ancient Reptile Senior Member
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              Thanks for participating.
               
            • Gator Fever

              Gator Fever Senior Member

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              WV- blue- 70% (60% blue)
              MO- blue- 55% (90% Red)
              MT- blue- 70% (50/50)
              TX - blue- 51% (99% Red)
              SD. - red - 80% (99% Red)
              FL - blue - 80% (70% Red)
              IN - blue- 65% (70% Red)
              TN- red- 70% (99% Red)
              NJ- blue- 55% (80% blue)
               
            • Ancient Reptile

              Ancient Reptile Senior Member
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              WV .blue 55
              MO red 60
              MT blue 60
              TX red 55
              SD red 85
              FL blue 51
              IN blue 53
              TN red 80
              NJ blue 55
              and,
              AZ red 53

              Libertarian candidate endorsing the Republican opens Montana a little. EpiPen (I consider that theft or at least extortion) opens up WV a little.
               
            • Ancient Reptile

              Ancient Reptile Senior Member
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              We need to include AZ in the predictions. Also, Avatara, is your overall still 50-50?
               
            • Gatoravatara

              Gatoravatara Protaganista

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              Ive updated original post.
               
            • AugustaGator

              AugustaGator Junior Member
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              Quote for posterity.
               
            • Ancient Reptile

              Ancient Reptile Senior Member
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              Doesn't that leave you predicting a Democratic Senate?
               
            • Swamp Donkey

              Swamp Donkey Ox is a Poor Man's JBoss
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              #76 Swamp Donkey, Nov 3, 2018
              Last edited: Nov 3, 2018
            • Ancient Reptile

              Ancient Reptile Senior Member
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              So, what do you think overall, Swonkey?
               
            • Gator Fever

              Gator Fever Senior Member

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              These clowns aren't even trying to hide their BS.
               
              • Gatoravatara

                Gatoravatara Protaganista

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                I dont know anymore. I think all the polls are wrong. They are using past turnout models but early voting this year has spiked. Students never vote, but they seem to have spiked this year. Blacks usually underperform in the midterms, but that doesnt seem to be operative this year. Especially in FL and GA. Hispanics in TX dont seem to be voting early, like usual. If they dont show up, Beto wont win. I dont think the polls are accurate. I'll stick with the 50-50 prediction. That is what I feel is going to happen, but I dont know where the surprises will be.
                 
                • Gatoravatara

                  Gatoravatara Protaganista

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                  Why does this upset you? Either he will win tomorrow or lose. I'm not putting that much weight in the last week's polling.
                   

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