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Discussion in 'Politics' started by Ancient Reptile, Oct 27, 2018.
Trafalgar had the white guy getting 30% of the black vote in Georgia in their governor poll.
WV is now considered a toss up.
Manchin is gonna lose. The last minute whisper promise to flip parties is desperation, and probably a lie. Too late for that. They hate lefties, and they aren't going to vote for Chuck Shumer.
I think a super majority needs to be watched for tomorrow. It's in play.
Latest polls mostly bad news for Scott. RCP is at 53-47.
Source? Polls still show Manchin up 5
Amending my prediction to 52R at best.
RCP, they have now moved TN to toss up despite good numbers for the Pub, and ND from likey pub to leans Pub. I think what's clear is that pollsters are comfortable saying, "well I wouldn't say we got it wrong. we should a shift right in the last week, but we can only report on what the people tell us."
Nah, I'm thinking good news. Polls did this two years ago. Pinched towards the end, but never corrected far enough to reach the right conclusion.
I think its going to be Makers and Knob Hill early tonight so as to be asleep by 930. I don't have a good feeling about this at all. Not even a little bit.
Is Knob Hill the Wal-Mart generic, or have you already started drinking?
Shiit....ya got me. Been at work 1 hr and Im already drunk as fvvck. Pile on the abuse. I deserve it for that. *embarassed*
Yes. I have no faith in the average american voter. Never have. Never will. Think about how stupid the average person you meet is...now remember that half of them are more stupid than that.
Wow this is pretty brutal. But you might have a point.
So, EXACTLY like 2016? But I’m with ya
My final prediction for the toss up (5% or closer) polling averages Senate Races and number of seats held. RCP poll averages at this time included: Nevada (Tie): Dem wins and flips seat (I look at this as almost 50/50) Arizona (.2% R lead): Rep wins Missouri (.6% R lead): Rep wins and flips seat Indiana (1.3% D lead): Rep wins and flips seat Florida (2.4% D lead): Rep wins and flips seat (I look at this as almost 50/50) Montana (3.3% D lead): Rep wins and flips seat (I look at this as almost 50/50) West Virginia (5% D lead): Dem wins Tennessee (5.2% R lead): Rep wins Other races with big polling differences: Michigan (8.3% D lead), Ohio (roughly 7.5% D lead) and Minnesota special election (roughly 7% Dem lead) etc: Dakota flips to Reps and I am thinking we might get a big surprise possibly where one of these real big underdogs (Michigan, Ohio and Minnesota special election) outperform the polls a lot and might possibly pull the real big upset. Balance after election: 55 Reps
haha, I knew what you meant. But more importantly, I didn't know what I was going to drink tonight while I watch the results. Now I know I'll be drinking some Knob Creek Single Barrel.
I guess I am the Sunshine Pumper. GOP 55-56 Senators GOP holds the House DEMs go full Chernobyl and meltdown own I have the same feeling I had 2016.
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