Truth Takes: 2019 Schedule

soflagator

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I agree with this. Don’t get me wrong it “potentially” (typing from app, don’t know how to italicize) can be a VERY hard schedule. I mean, who would have thought Kentucky would do as well as they did last year overall and a few others.

I’m arguing as of now. Also, when I look at an Auburn team who plays Florida/Georgia cross-division and Oregon, I think that’s harder, Carolina with Bama and at Kyle Field with Clemson (and a new look/healthy UNC), Georgia with aTm, ND and new look Tech, etc. I think their SOS is ahead of us. One more time so I’m clear, my thought is based mostly on what we have seen, and what teams have lost, but my opinion can evolve as we move forward into the season.

Yeah, I agree.

And since you brought it up, Auburn's slate...wow. They could be a good team and go 7-5/8-4, especially if Oregon and Msu are solid. Even with the other garbage they have for OOC, that's a grind.
 

GatorTruth133

Alethea
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Yeah, I agree.

And since you brought it up, Auburn's slate...wow. They could be a good team and go 7-5/8-4, especially if Oregon and Msu are solid. Even with the other garbage they have for OOC, that's a grind.

Yea, before posting about our schedule vs others in the SEC I looked to see OOC and cross-division games. Some good OOC this year where what should be good appears to be two middle of the pack teams
 

GatorTruth133

Alethea
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Ppl are overlooking our schedule...if we go 10-2 it’s a blessing

Curious for some explanation here with the context of who we play, when we play them compared to both ours and their schedule. Like what 3+ losses do you see?
 

RiverRat

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Well the way I see them I think as I have posted before are:

1. Can't lose: UTn-Martin, at UK, Towson, Vandy, at SoCar, at Missouri
2. Shouldn't lose: Miami, Auburn, FSU
3. Toss ups: at LSU, UGa

I say win the ones you should win split the two toss ups and go 11-1, as UF would have gone last year in the regular season had UF won the ones they should have at home.
1- Can't lose: UT Martin, Towson
2-Shouldn't lose: Miami, FSU, Vandy, S.C. , K.Y., Missouri, Tenn.
3-Toss up: Georgia , Auburn, LSU
 

JDW

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As previously stated by many I could see us losing to UGA LSU and either Auburn UK USCe or Mizzou...that’s a situation I wouldn’t want to be in but it’s not a foregone conclusion we’re gonna win against any of our lesser east opponents and auburn is tricky w that Dline and if we have injuries or we’re not properly gelled by then it’s gonna be a tough row to hoe
 

InstiGATOR1

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1- Can't lose: UT Martin, Towson
2-Shouldn't lose: Miami, FSU, Vandy, S.C. , K.Y., Missouri, Tenn.
3-Toss up: Georgia , Auburn, LSU

I have no problem with AU in the toss up category. They well may be excellent or the well may be fighting for their guys job.

I am not sure that for example Vandy at home and Miami at a neutral site belong in the same category. I could see something like:

2. Should win: Vandy, SoCar, UK, UMo

3. Shouldn't lose: UTn, FSU, UTn

Still if Mullen starts 0-2 against either UK or UMo or loses at home to Vandy or loses to Muschamp there will be some noise around UF fandom.
 

Gator Fever

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I have no problem with AU in the toss up category. They well may be excellent or the well may be fighting for their guys job.

I am not sure that for example Vandy at home and Miami at a neutral site belong in the same category. I could see something like:

2. Should win: Vandy, SoCar, UK, UMo

3. Shouldn't lose: UTn, FSU, UTn

Still if Mullen starts 0-2 against either UK or UMo or loses at home to Vandy or loses to Muschamp there will be some noise around UF fandom.

I think Miami is getting close to being in the SC area as far as a possible upset loss. I didn't think that before but do now with Delance going down. Not likely but in the realm of a possibility now.
 

gardnerwebbgator

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We lose to UGA, LSU, and either Mizzou or The Barn slips in and stuns us at home.

9-3 with bookend wins over in-state rivals. Likely a Citrus Bowl berth, maybe we can back into the Cotton.
 

Fishon

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I think it's fair to say that our schedule is fairly easy, especially compared to other schools and our own past schedules AND also think there are 2-3 losses there. Our skill positions on O appear to be improved, but OL is an unknown (potentially solid or potentially disaster). Our D has a lot of talent, but depth is an issue. In the SEC injuries are a certainty over the course of the season and lack of depth could be ultimately sinks us. 3 bye weeks hopefully helps with that
 

GatorTruth133

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So, throwing this out there....our '06 line had 17 combined starts going into the season. Our current line has 20 combined starts. For the simple ones, no I am not saying anything about a National Title other than commenting on those that think a lack of starts (let's ignore amount of playing time as back ups) means the offensive line will be nothing but a floodgate.

Can anyone please explain the fascination with people picking Carolina as a possible loss? Seriously, with the games they have the four previous weeks and a more than likely losing record and they've lost their best offensive player from last year, what makes you think Will Muschamp's team will be suddenly better? And please, if I get no other answers, I want this one question answered: Why do you think Will Muschamp can better develop a team (as of right now without any theoretical nonsense) of unproven talent than Dan Mullen can with a lot more proven talent?

For those looking at injuries, yea, could be a problem. Also, couldn't other teams get injuries, why just factor in ours?

As previously stated by many I could see us losing to UGA LSU and either Auburn UK USCe or Mizzou...that’s a situation I wouldn’t want to be in but it’s not a foregone conclusion we’re gonna win against any of our lesser east opponents and auburn is tricky w that Dline and if we have injuries or we’re not properly gelled by then it’s gonna be a tough row to hoe

I could see us losing those first two games, just want to see the thought process of how Orgeron is becoming a better coach or how Auburn will go from a team that was 3-5 in the SEC with a loss to UT to a team that is on the level of LSU or UGA with a new QB making one of his first road starts. I'd also argue we faced a much worse front seven situation at #failstate last year.

Don't get me wrong, do I think we could lose some of these games? Yea, but I'm looking for the why. The DL vs. OL thing I think is only a piece of a much bigger puzzle as we have seen our staff and these players play around it before.
 

Gator Fever

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So, throwing this out there....our '06 line had 17 combined starts going into the season. Our current line has 20 combined starts. For the simple ones, no I am not saying anything about a National Title other than commenting on those that think a lack of starts (let's ignore amount of playing time as back ups) means the offensive line will be nothing but a floodgate.

Interesting but that team wasn't near what the 07 and 08 offenses were until maybe the SECCG and BCSCG. I don't remember a lot about that O line but it seemed we were pretty balanced rushing and passing. But 06 was probably the final year before many of these offenses started putting up pinball numbers all over the place.
 

InstiGATOR1

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If I told you, UF would go 10-3 and win its bowl game last year very few people would have guessed the losses would have been UK, UGa and UMo. Most people probably would have had UGa, FSU and either LSU or MSU.

So the issue this year is can Mullen avoid the UK and UMo type defeat particularly two of them.
 

GatorTruth133

Alethea
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Interesting but that team wasn't near what the 07 and 08 offenses were until maybe the SECCG and BCSCG. I don't remember a lot about that O line but it seemed we were pretty balanced rushing and passing. But 06 was probably the final year before many of these offenses started putting up pinball numbers all over the place.

The change from '06 to '07 had a few differences like Tebow, increasing workload for Harvin, and Hernandez that took the offense to its full potential. The funny thing is during the pinball years we never had a complete back like we have in Perine and Davis (looking to see more from Pierce before I say he's a complete back. Definitely looks like he can run for days based on what little we saw last season). A complete back gives the defense more to look for in what they can do. Granted Rainey and Demps in '08 and forward weren't going to be touched if they got space, but knowing you can see power or an outside run (like Perine taking the Demps option pitch for a few big gains last season.

With that said, I'm not saying we will see pinball numbers, but I do think we will see our best offense since '08...as long as health persists. '09 was good, but was a noticeable drop under Addazio. Tebow and Co. did better in spite of the change.

If I told you, UF would go 10-3 and win its bowl game last year very few people would have guessed the losses would have been UK, UGa and UMo. Most people probably would have had UGa, FSU and either LSU or MSU.

So the issue this year is can Mullen avoid the UK and UMo type defeat particularly two of them.

If I told you last year that some guy did a 3 part post on why Florida could win 10 games, say UF would lose a game it shouldn't and would not lose to all of #failstate, LSU, and UGA, would you believe me? Then Mizzou happened and that might end up being a changing point in this program. If Mullen was telling reporters they were going to kick their ass at thumb wrestling, how do you think the post-game talk to the team went? Might be Mullen's tarmac moment.

We ended up 9-3 and beat a Michigan team (to finish with 10 wins) that many on this board thought was dangerous even with Gary and friends out...until we won. No, it was not a full strength Michigan team, but I cannot ignore the talent still playing in that bowl game for Michigan. Even with the missing players, I'd argue they were one of the top 4 teams we faced last year. I bring this up just because of the debate on how much the Michigan game actually meant.
 

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