2018 Prediction Thread

ThreatMatrix

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I felt better heading into the season until I learned Meadowlark passed again.
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InstiGATOR1

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Charleston So. W Mullen can NOT pull a South Alabama here.
UK W Mullen can NOT start 0-1 against a team UF has not lost to in 30+ years.
Colo. St W Mullen can NOT lose to McElwain's old team
@ UT W I think they are further down that UF so a loss here would be bad.
@ Miss. St L Doesn't UF often start 4-0 and lose the 5th game? I think UF goes 1-1 in these two road games and it could be reversed.
LSU W Mullen can not lose to a team coached by Orgeron.
@ Vandy W, Its Vandy and they have regressed since that overrated Franklin left.
UGA L Maybe I could see them taking a big step back.
Mizzou W This is a game UF must win
USCe W Can't lose to Muschamp.
Idaho W See Charleston Southern.
@ FSU W I could swap this game and UGa in my picks. I think UF will get one of them this year, I am not sure which.
 
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t-gator

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Charleston S.-W
CSU-W
UK-W
UT-L
MSU-L
LSU-L
VANDY-W
UGA-L
MIZZOU-L
USCe-W
IDAHO-W
FSU-W

I picked us to beat FSU and close out strong. I think Taggart is gonna be a disaster there.
 

Tay Bang

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i feel like we did this already

Charleston So. W
UK W
Colo. St W
@ UT 50/50
@ Miss. St L
LSU L
@ Vandy W
UGA L
Mizzou 50/50
USCe 50/50
Idaho W
@ FSU L

Im guessing 7.

Not a lot of wins in Oct or Nov. Millinz is used to this.

This is how I see it, though MSU is 50/50. 7 - 8 wins. Right where Vegas put us.
 

gardnerwebbgator

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Wins - CSUe, CSUw, USC, Mizzou, Idaho

Losses - MSU, UGA, FSU

Toss-Ups - UK, UT, LSU, VU

Split the toss-ups, go 7-5.
 

SeabeeGator

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I'm hopeful for 8 or 9 wins, but the reality is...

The only "sure" wins are Charleston Southern, Colorado State, and Idaho.
Game against Kentucky, Tennessee, Vanderbilt, Missouri, and South Carolina are "should" wins.
Probable losses are Miss. State, LSU, Georgia, and FSU.

So, if we hold form as above, we'll be 8-4. I can easily see us losing a couple of those "should" win games, but I also wouldn't be surprised if we pull an upset and beat MSU, LSU, or FSU. Regardless, I don't see us being better than some combination that comes to 8-4.
This is where I’m at.
 

Durfish

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Wins - CSUe, CSUw, USC, Mizzou, Idaho

Losses - MSU, UGA, FSU

Toss-Ups - UK, UT, LSU, VU

Split the toss-ups, go 7-5.
USC and Mizzou as wins but Vandy as a toss-up? Based on home/away or are you seriously wasted? Or (likely) both?
 

Ninjax

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Hoping for 9-3. Would be content with 8-4 and mildly disappointed at 7-5. Ultimately, as noted once or twice elsewhere, it all depends on the play of our O-line...injuries, suspensions, arrests, acts of domestic violence, etc.
 
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MJMGator

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I think be done about 12 times already, but I expect about 7-5 for the reasons we’ve stated about 17,496 times.
 

Jax Gator

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8-4 if Franks can remember where the hell he is on the field. 5-7 if he plays run backwards 10 yards then out-of- bounds like last year...
 

Durfish

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I'll stick with my 8-win prediction from the spring. Would love to see 10 (or 15, for that matter), but I'm just not confident that our weak areas (QB, OL, safety) will allow it.
 

GatorJB

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Charleston So. W
UK W
Colo. St W
@ UT W
@ Miss. St L
LSU W
@ Vandy W
UGA L
Mizzou W
USCe L
Idaho W
@ FSU L

I think we split between Mizzou and USCe, but it wouldn't surprise me at all if we lost both of those. I also think we're capable of winning both those games, but it's difficult to know for sure since we haven't seen these guys play. I also consider FSU a 50/50 game, but I picked the loss just because of depth concerns. I don't know why LSU is getting so much love. Orgeron is a moron. Mullen may not do more with less, but Orgeron certainly does less with more.
 

Gator by the Sea

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USC and Mizzou as wins but Vandy as a toss-up? Based on home/away or are you seriously wasted? Or (likely) both?

I was thinking the same thing. Switch USCe and Mizzou to the "toss up" category and put Vandy in the "win" column and he's got it right. But either way, the number look like 7-5 or 8-4.
 

SGG

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Charleston So. W
UK W
Colo. St W
@ UT W
@ Miss. St W
LSU L
@ Vandy W
UGA W
Mizzou L
USCe L
Idaho W
@ FSU W

9-3 and a bowl win over some middle of the pack B1G team. Lose three we shouldn’t on paper, win three we shouldn’t on paper.
 

GR8 2B

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How do we do?

Charleston So. W
UK W
Colo. St W
@ UT 50/50
@ Miss. St L
LSU L
@ Vandy W
UGA L
Mizzou W
USCe W
Idaho W
@ FSU L

I have us at 7.5 basically, but I think we get upset by someone, so probably more like 6.5 as an over/under.
I think we beat Tennessee and LSU, not ruling out an upset vs the Dwags or Nulls.
 

lagator

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How do we do?

Charleston So. W
UK W
Colo. St W
@ UT 50/50
@ Miss. St L
LSU L
@ Vandy W
UGA L
Mizzou W
USCe W
Idaho W
@ FSU L

I have us at 7.5 basically, but I think we get upset by someone, so probably more like 6.5 as an over/under.

Odds of winning each game individually as a percentage:


Charleston So. 98%
UK 75%
Colo. St 90%
@ UT 70%
@ Miss. St 50%
LSU 60%
@ Vandy 85%
UGA 30%
Mizzou 50%
USCe 50%
Idaho 95%
@ FSU 40%

So assuming those percentages (that I pulled out of my azz) are correct, mathematically our record should be 8-4.
 

lizardbreath

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I'm going to pump some low level sunshine - 9/3 with a win over either the SOW or the Dwags. Who the hell knows what happens in a mid-level bowl game? A little optimistic perhaps, but we may actually have a competent staff now, and better things should be possible. Major holes in the roster are just too glaring to hope for better.
 

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