Good advice @Taco Gratis. As someone whose entire career was in trading financial instruments, don;t ever think about or what you hope to make on a trade. Trading and Investing are 2 different things In trading always define what you are willing to lose and stick to it. Always know what the downside is!. In reality as a trader you don't care about the upside b/c that is what you are trying to do and that is gravy. Concentrate on the risks. Most investors always want to know what they can make, almost none asks how much can I lose? Lastly, never turn a "losing trade" into a long term investment.