Bleacher Report predictions for UF

URGatorBait

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So this guy has us going 10-2 with L's to Alabama (close) and FSU (not as close).
He gives reasoning for each pick and score. What do you guys think?

https://bleacherreport.com/articles/2...le-predictions

UF 43 / Idaho 3
UF 38 / E. Mich 3
UF 35 / Kentucky 10
UF 21 / Bama 24
UF 35 / Tenn 14
UF 21 / LSU 14
UF 28 / Missouri 7
UF 24 / UGA 21
UF 35 / Vandy 10
UF 27 / USCe 14
UF 56 / E. Kentucky 0
UF 14 / FSU 24

That averages giving up 12 pts per game. That's a pretty low number, but not unattainable. However, without an improved offense, that number is unrealistic, IMO. In comparison, UF gave up just over 21 pts per game, last year.

Offensively, that averages 31.4 pts per game. Comparatively, UF averaged 18.8 pts per game, last year.

This guy seems to put high value on the effects of Roper's offense if that's the case, but does make reasonable arguments as to why he's picking the way he does. I think he's defensive numbers might be a touch low, and his offensive numbers a tad high. As much as I don't want to lose, Bama, LSU, UGA, and FSU are the real question marks for me, and are the games to measure this team, and it's coaches on this season. You could perhaps throw in USCe as well, but they may have lost too much to really compete this year, again IMO.
 

GMDGator

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In my mind Muschamp's destiny all rides on Jax... He can lose to Bama, LSU and Fsu, but not again to the buttsniffers...
 

Gatorphan

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Although loaded from great recruiting, I think LSU and UGA lost more than USCe from last year. This is a good year to get all three of them as they are breaking in a new starting quarterback and none of them have home field advantage against the Gators.
 

ATXGator

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If this guys predictions are right, then I would expect a re-energized fan base for the LSU game in the Swamp. While I think many schools are having attendance problems, I think for a big game like LSU the fans will come out like crazy if we are in the situation above and that could spring us forward to a 10-2 season or even beating FSU. If our D is as good as advertised and our offense is abover average... we have a shot at anybody.
 

Gator Fever

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I doubt we hold teams to 12 points a game with how the offenses have geared up in the SEC lately - especially if we are scoring some putting pressure on the other team to score more.
 

divits

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We are going to beat FSU, LSU and USC, lose outright to Alabama and lose stupid games to Missouri and Georgia. This is what my spidey senses are telling me.
 

601Gator

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Holding teams to 12 points a game is a bit unrealistic in my opinion with this young secondary, BUT I believe we can hold them to somewhere under 20 a game. We just went through a stretch of holding SEC teams to under 20 until what the Mizzou game?

Georgia- New QB
Bama- New QB
Mizzou- New QB
LSU- New QB
South Carolina- New QB

Its a great time for us to have a young secondary. We can pressure the QB and take a load off them because we pretty much know that nobody will be throwing to VH3's side anyway. So that takes away a receiver from the young QB's. I think we can cause frustration for other offenses. God, I'm ready for the season.
 

URGatorBait

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601Gator said:
Holding teams to 12 points a game is a bit unrealistic in my opinion with this young secondary, BUT I believe we can hold them to somewhere under 20 a game. We just went through a stretch of holding SEC teams to under 20 until what the Mizzou game?

Georgia- New QB
Bama- New QB
Mizzou- New QB
LSU- New QB
South Carolina- New QB

Its a great time for us to have a young secondary. We can pressure the QB and take a load off them because we pretty much know that nobody will be throwing to VH3's side anyway. So that takes away a receiver from the young QB's. I think we can cause frustration for other offenses. God, I'm ready for the season.
May be unrealistic, but how do you think this defense compares to 2012 defense?
In 2012, UF gave up 12.9 pts per game in the regular season. 14.5 ppg if you add the bowl game with Louisville.

I think we may end up closer to 12 than 21, 15-16 being more realistic to me, but only if the offense is much improved.
 

Captain Sasquatch

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divits;n32103 said:
We are going to beat FSU, LSU and USC, lose outright to Alabama and lose stupid games to Missouri and Georgia. This is what my spidey senses are telling me.

Missouri was gutted after last year. Barring major injuries, I don't think they roll into the Swamp and win.
 

divits

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Captain Sasquatch said:
divits;n32103 said:
We are going to beat FSU, LSU and USC, lose outright to Alabama and lose stupid games to Missouri and Georgia. This is what my spidey senses are telling me.

Missouri was gutted after last year. Barring major injuries, I don't think they roll into the Swamp and win.
My predictions are not based on any common sense or past history. They come to me in the night in a vision. Usually after a couple three finger glasses of bourbon.
 

Gator Fever

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601Gator;n32104 said:
Holding teams to 12 points a game is a bit unrealistic in my opinion with this young secondary, BUT I believe we can hold them to somewhere under 20 a game. We just went through a stretch of holding SEC teams to under 20 until what the Mizzou game?

Georgia- New QB
Bama- New QB
Mizzou- New QB
LSU- New QB
South Carolina- New QB

Its a great time for us to have a young secondary. We can pressure the QB and take a load off them because we pretty much know that nobody will be throwing to VH3's side anyway. So that takes away a receiver from the young QB's. I think we can cause frustration for other offenses. God, I'm ready for the season.

Last year that was mainly due to opposing offenses getting less plays a game in the whole country against us due to our TOP at all costs offense and the fact they didn't need to push the ball with how ineffective our offense was scoring. A more telling stat was we were about 40th in yards per play given up last season but I do think we will move into the top 10 this season on that stat.
 

The Original DC

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I'd take his 10-2 and run with it. However, if we're 10-1 heading into Tallahassee, that means we're a damn good, SEC battle-tested team that has ran a helluva gauntlet. THAT team, like 2012, could win in Tallahassee.
 

601Gator

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601Gator said:
Holding teams to 12 points a game is a bit unrealistic in my opinion with this young secondary, BUT I believe we can hold them to somewhere under 20 a game. We just went through a stretch of holding SEC teams to under 20 until what the Mizzou game?

Georgia- New QB
Bama- New QB
Mizzou- New QB
LSU- New QB
South Carolina- New QB

Its a great time for us to have a young secondary. We can pressure the QB and take a load off them because we pretty much know that nobody will be throwing to VH3's side anyway. So that takes away a receiver from the young QB's. I think we can cause frustration for other offenses. God, I'm ready for the season.
Well comparing with 2012, realistically the D won't be as good and Muschamp has said as much. We do have better edge rushers but McCray could drop into coverage when needed. No Easley and Floyd this year, but I like our linebackers up the middle. I look for Morrison to make up for last year. VH3 is better than any corner we had in 12.

All in all I think the key to this year will be Fowler and Bullard off the edge creating problems making it easier on our secondary. Also our linebackers stepping up in the run game. If those things happen we'll be just fine.
 

601Gator

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Gator Fever;n32122 said:
Last year that was mainly due to opposing offenses getting less plays a game in the whole country against us due to our TOP at all costs offense and the fact they didn't need to push the ball with how ineffective our offense was scoring. A more telling stat was we were about 40th in yards per play given up last season but I do think we will move into the top 10 this season on that stat.
This year our defense won't have to carry the entire load either. We'll finally get to see a Muschamp defense that's actually getting help from the offense. That will be exciting.
 

oxrageous

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I just don't know how anyone can really make any credible predictions at all with this team. I am utterly clueless as to how they are going to play this year.
 

oxrageous

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601Gator;n32144 said:
We'll finally get to see a Muschamp defense that's actually getting help from the offense. That will be exciting.
You don't know this yet.
 

GatorInKnox

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oxrageous;n32147 said:
I just don't know how anyone can really make any credible predictions at all with this team. I am utterly clueless as to how they are going to play this year.
:exactly: we could honestly be very very good this year but could just as easily be terrible. I'll have a much better grasp on our team after week 1. Even if it is against Idaho.
 

Gator Fever

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601Gator said:
Gator Fever;n32122 said:
Last year that was mainly due to opposing offenses getting less plays a game in the whole country against us due to our TOP at all costs offense and the fact they didn't need to push the ball with how ineffective our offense was scoring. A more telling stat was we were about 40th in yards per play given up last season but I do think we will move into the top 10 this season on that stat.
This year our defense won't have to carry the entire load either. We'll finally get to see a Muschamp defense that's actually getting help from the offense. That will be exciting.
Well our defense didn't really carry the load if you look inside the numbers but I think they will be a legit top 10 defense this season. It should help psychologically seeing our offense score more however.
 

URGatorBait

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Captain Sasquatch said:
divits;n32103 said:
We are going to beat FSU, LSU and USC, lose outright to Alabama and lose stupid games to Missouri and Georgia. This is what my spidey senses are telling me.

Missouri was gutted after last year. Barring major injuries, I don't think they roll into the Swamp and win.
:lol:
 

GatorJB

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I think 9-3 is more likely, but I wouldn't be surprised at all if they did better. The offense averaging 31 points a game is not unrealistic at all, and I do agree that the defensive stats are a little unrealistic. I predict that they'll be at around 17 points per game, which is still very good. Next year's defense could be the 12 average. There's lots of young talent on that D that will be back next year.
 

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