A Florida Gator
- Jun 12, 2016
Our yearly study of the teams with enough talent to win a national title in 2022.
Winning a national championship in college football requires a lot of things. It takes coaching, luck, timing, scheduling, and yes, talent.
Sometimes, the most talented team in college football is the champion. Sometimes, it’s a lesser-talented team. But what is the minimum level of talent needed to win it all? That’s a potentially evolving question of interest every year.
Put simply, to win the national championship, college football teams need to sign more four- and five-star recruits (AKA “Blue Chips”) than two- and three-star players over the previous four recruiting classes.
This is a necessary but not sufficient condition. It does not guarantee a national championship, but a team not meeting it is almost certainly guaranteed not to win it all.
HOW HAS THIS STAT PERFORMED IN THE PAST?
- In 2021, Georgia had an 80 percent BCR and won it all, beating the No. 1 BCR team Alabama in the title game. Three of the four playoff teams were BCR teams as Cincinnati was the first crasher since 2017.
- In 2020, Alabama had an 83 percent BCR and won it all. All four Playoff teams were BCR schools.
- In 2019, LSU won it with a 64 percent BCR, and all four Playoff teams were BCR schools.
- Clemson, with a 61 percent mark, took it home in 2018. And all four Playoff teams were BCR schools.
- Alabama won it all in 2017 with an incredible 80 percent mark.
- Clemson took home the title in 2016 after signing 52 percent blue chips in the 2013-16 classes.
- In 2015, Alabama had a 77 percent mark.
- In 2014, it was Ohio State at 68 percent.
- In 2013, Florida State was at 53 percent.
- In 2012, Alabama was at 71 percent ...
- ... just as Bama was in 2011.
LET'S GET TO THE 2022 LIST
FINALLY, LET’S LOOK AT THE BCR WITH THE TRANSFERS