- Jun 10, 2014
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Lunardi has us in the Last Four In right now. Our W/L record obviously isn’t good, but the computers love us because of our difficult schedule. I still think finishing 17-14 and picking up any win in the SECT gets us into the dance.
We are 1-9 against top 50 RPI teams and only 4-11 against top 100 RPI teams. If we don't win tonight we will probably have to win our next 4 games after that to get in the tournament. The 3 games before LSU at home aren't going to help us much but a loss to any of them would probably shut the door on us.
I'm not an expert so forgive my ignorance but how can we be 29 in KenPom and 1-9 vs top 50 teams? Are these rankings that heavily skewed to who you play not who you beat?
I think it would be short myself. I know they look at other stuff now but that would probably have us no higher than 60 in the RPI which hardly ever gets you in even with a very soft bubble. I think if we don't finish 18-13 in the regular season we will need a run in the SEC tournament.
If we go 3-3 and win 2 conference tournament games we're in. The bubble is pretty weak this year. I don't know how the rpi factors in anymore with is this new quadrant system and what not. But with our schedule, 3-3 and 2 tournament wins, I think think wed at least get a play in game.We are 1-9 against top 50 RPI teams and only 4-11 against top 100 RPI teams. If we don't win tonight we will probably have to win our next 4 games after that to get in the tournament. The 3 games before LSU at home aren't going to help us much but a loss to any of them would probably shut the door on us.
DaRealGator never showed up for this thread huh? Oh wait nevermind, we won this game...
Updated bracketology
Good news : Lunardi has us as a 10 seed playing in Jacksonville. Big bump from the win the other
night, as he has us squarely in the field at this time.
Bad news : We play Iowa. A solid team that isn't a great matchup for us . They have a really good
big guy, and three guards that shoot north of 40% from 3. I think they will end up as a 5,but a really tough
game if that is where we end up.
Worse news: If we somehow got by Iowa we would almost surely have a date with UNC in the round of 32.
Sometimes big time upsets fall your way, like when we avoided a very good Georgetown team a few years ago and got to play Gulf coast in the sweet sixteen. I think a 10 seed is about as good as we can get, but that particular draw
and possible matchups aren't good. Frankly it would be better to be an 11 seed in that particular bracket.
Bad news : We play Iowa. A solid team that isn't a great matchup for us . They have a really good
big guy, and three guards that shoot north of 40% from 3. I think they will end up as a 5,but a really tough
game if that is where we end up.