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Discussion in 'Politics' started by Ancient Reptile, Oct 27, 2018.
Good gosh! The poster child for gouging.
Sooooo...Manchen's opponent was responsible for Manchen's daughter price gouging and reaping a $19 million salary. Got it.
I thought Manchin was safe but I dont know. He is falling like a rock. He is also dumb as a rock.
I forget which show i was listening to on the radio. Locally, it was either Ingraham, Rush, Hannity, Levin or Savage. Anyway, they mentioned that Manchin was having trouble a couple weeks ago, which is why I kept mentioning the Pubs had a shot. They referred to someone's internal polling numbers. I just hope all the polls follow his 10 pt swing.
My prediction along with probability that it will occur. WV- blue- 70% MO- blue- 55% MT- blue- 70% TX - blue- 51% SD. - red - 80% FL - blue - 80% IN - blue- 65% TN- red- 70% NJ- blue- 55% NV-blue- 70% AZ- blue 65%
It will probably come down to the wire but some people are claiming they are pretty loyal to politicians in WV once they elect them. Hopefully Trump pushing the other guy pretty hard can get enough people to not vote for Manchin again.
I dont know why,, but it seems as Manchin isthe only D that can be elected in WV. If the Ds win the Senate by 1 sear, McConnell should offer him a deal to switch.
Thanks for participating.
WV- blue- 70% (60% blue) MO- blue- 55% (90% Red) MT- blue- 70% (50/50) TX - blue- 51% (99% Red) SD. - red - 80% (99% Red) FL - blue - 80% (70% Red) IN - blue- 65% (70% Red) TN- red- 70% (99% Red) NJ- blue- 55% (80% blue)
WV .blue 55 MO red 60 MT blue 60 TX red 55 SD red 85 FL blue 51 IN blue 53 TN red 80 NJ blue 55 and, AZ red 53 Libertarian candidate endorsing the Republican opens Montana a little. EpiPen (I consider that theft or at least extortion) opens up WV a little.
We need to include AZ in the predictions. Also, Avatara, is your overall still 50-50?
Ive updated original post.
Quote for posterity.
Doesn't that leave you predicting a Democratic Senate?
So, what do you think overall, Swonkey?
These clowns aren't even trying to hide their BS.
I dont know anymore. I think all the polls are wrong. They are using past turnout models but early voting this year has spiked. Students never vote, but they seem to have spiked this year. Blacks usually underperform in the midterms, but that doesnt seem to be operative this year. Especially in FL and GA. Hispanics in TX dont seem to be voting early, like usual. If they dont show up, Beto wont win. I dont think the polls are accurate. I'll stick with the 50-50 prediction. That is what I feel is going to happen, but I dont know where the surprises will be.
Why does this upset you? Either he will win tomorrow or lose. I'm not putting that much weight in the last week's polling.
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