I think if Trask comes back next year, his numbers will be worse but he'll be more ready for a long and successful career in the NFL (assuming no major injury).
Bill Parcells had a famous formula for drafting QBs:
- Be a three-year starter
- Be a senior in college
- Graduate from college
- Start 30 games
- Win 23 games
- Post a 2-1 touchdown-to-interception ratio
- Complete at least 60 percent of passes thrown
Of course, things have changed a bit since then (more games played per season, the TD-INT ratio is a little low given modern offenses, maybe 3-1 should be the bottom limit, and the senior thing is dated).
It's not on the list, but Parcells also liked tall QBs with strong arms.
As you can see, the criteria focus on experience, accuracy, and good decision making. You don't get experience carrying a clipboard on the sideline.
Measured against these criteria, Trask compares to Joe Burrow. Burrow didn't start enough and neither did Trask. The QBs who met all elements of the criteria last year were Justin Herbert and Jalen Hurts.
These criteria aren't perfect, Brady, Roethlisberger, and Aaron Rogers didn't meet all the points, though they came close. The criteria do help weed out the Haskins and Trubiskys of the world.
Alex.