Vegas (wink wink)

Discussion in 'Main Sports Forum' started by BadowGator, Sep 13, 2019.

  1. BadowGator

    BadowGator Member

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    Haven’t seen a thread on this. Hope it’s cool I start one cause I’m interested in some hot takes. For those who bet a bag of chips at work. I’d be interested in some love/hate type inputs on the Vegas lines per week. My ML postings will always be for the dog. Lmk if you’d like me to keep this up. Won’t be able to post EVERY game but would like the chime ins.

    Friday 9/13
    Unc @ Wake - unc +3 (love) ML +125 O/U 65
    Kansas @ BC - KU +20 ML+800 (worth the risk) O/U 51
    Wazu @ Houston - wazu - 9.5 ML +290 O/U 73.5
     
    • Captain Sasquatch

      Captain Sasquatch Mr. SQ, the Sashole
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      I wouldn't touch the Kansas +20 bet with a 100 foot pole. Les Miles or not, they are AWFUL. I like UNC at +3, don't really have an opinion on Wazzou at -9.5 but I'd lean towards them covering that. Houston's defense was already bad, then Dana Holgersen waltzed into town.
       
    • BadowGator

      BadowGator Member

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      Kinda surprised haven’t gotten more input/backlash on this. Woulda take my over. Goes to show
       
    • Captain Sasquatch

      Captain Sasquatch Mr. SQ, the Sashole
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      And nights like tonight are precisely why I don’t bet real money on college football. :lol:
       
      • Bushmaster

        Bushmaster Well-Known Member
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        Explain the + and - stff for us non gamblers.
         
        • Gator87

          Gator87 Senior Member
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          The biggest mystery of all is how a team coached by Steve Dumazzio was favored by 20 over anyone.
           
          • MJMGator

            MJMGator Slightly amused
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            • Gator Fever

              Gator Fever Senior Member

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              I remember reading a few times that the few people that are able to make a living doing this long term get their best results with college games however.
               
              • BadowGator

                BadowGator Member

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                + is what is used to describe the underdog and how much they are predicted to “lose” by and same can be said for the - which is the predicted winning amount for the favorite team.

                Money Line (ML) - wager placed on sole outcome (winning straight-up, no spread involved.

                Over/Under (O/U) - combined total # of points scored in the game.

                Florida @ Kentucky - -9.5 (Florida projected to win by 9.5 points)

                ML -350 FL ($100 bet to risk $350 on Florida to simply win) UK +290 ($100 wins $290 if UK wins straight up.

                O/U 46 - combined teams total score of game.
                 
                • NVGator

                  NVGator Member
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                  Good explanations up to this point. A better way to say:

                  Florida -350 ML: You’d have to bet $350 to win $100 or bet $35 to win $10.
                   
                  • SeabeeGator

                    SeabeeGator Well-Known Member
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                    Thanks for clearing that up. That’s what I thought but his definition confused me.
                     
                    • BNAG8R

                      BNAG8R ⭐️ ⭐️ ⭐️ ⭐️ ⭐️ mind, ⭐️ ⭐️ body
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                      My BIL runs “The Dunkel Index” which is a rating service that’s been handicapping college games since 1929. It was part of the original “BCS computer rankings” until they demanded computer models remove margin of victory - the index had run for 80 years and wasn’t going to change for the BCS.

                      I think it typically runs about 53% ATS so is pretty well respected with those with gambling problems.

                      www.dunkelindex.com

                      The Dunkel Index Podcast
                       
                    • AnObfuscator

                      AnObfuscator Well-Known Member
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                      Ouch, hope you didn't actually gamble on that.
                       
                    • Captain Sasquatch

                      Captain Sasquatch Mr. SQ, the Sashole
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                      Nope! But I'm 3 for 3 to start the day on GC Pick 'Em. :captain:
                       

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