2018 over/under win total odds for every SEC team

Discussion in 'Main Sports Forum' started by BMF, Apr 16, 2018.

  1. BMF

    BMF Junior Member
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    UF at 7 wins (and at -120 for the under - meaning they expect more under bets):

    https://www.saturdaydownsouth.com/s...over-under-alabama-georgia-tennessee-florida/

    Alabama 2018 regular season win total
    Over 10.5 (-130)
    Under 10.5 (+100)

    Georgia 2018 regular season win total
    Over 10.5 (-115)
    Under 10.5 (-115)

    Auburn 2018 regular season win total
    Over 9 (-110)
    Under 9 (-120)

    Mississippi State 2018 regular season win total
    Over 8 (-115)
    Under 8 (-115)

    LSU 2018 regular season win total
    Over 7.5 (-120)
    Under 7.5 (-110)

    Texas A&M 2018 regular season win total
    Over 7 (-120)
    Under 7 (-110)

    South Carolina 2018 regular season win total
    Over 7 (-115)
    Under 7 (-115)

    Florida 2018 regular season win total
    Over 7 (-110)
    Under 7 (-120)

    Missouri 2018 regular season win total
    Over 6.5 (-105)
    Under 6.5 (-125)

    Ole Miss 2018 regular season win total
    Over 6 (-130)
    Under 6 (+100)

    Kentucky 2018 regular season win total
    Over 6 (-120)
    Under 6 (-110)

    Tennessee 2018 regular season win total
    Over 5.5 (-110)
    Under 5.5 (-120)

    Arkansas 2018 regular season win total
    Over 5.5 (-110)
    Under 5.5 (-120)

    Vanderbilt 2018 regular season win total
    Over 5 (+100)
    Under 5 (-130)
     
  2. Gator by the Sea

    Gator by the Sea Well-Known Member
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    Granted, we don’t know how the season will actually play out, but it is depressing that Vegas views us as nothing more than a middle of the pack SEC team.
     
  3. revgator

    revgator Member

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    I must admit, I'm afflicted with indifference but we so have some talented players. If DM can get them playing at a high level, we can be competitive.

    At least that's what I'm hoping for....
     
  4. BMF

    BMF Junior Member
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    If Burrow transfers in I might fly out to Vegas and drop $20K on the over (unless they move the line).
     
  5. MJMGator

    MJMGator Slightly amused
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    You’d be a fool to bet the over.
     
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    • Acecustis

      Acecustis Well-Known Member

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      Wouldn't touch that Florida number. That Mizz over 6.5 is cash.
       
    • MJMGator

      MJMGator Slightly amused
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      The East is just a sh*t show other than the Dwags.
       
    • BMF

      BMF Junior Member
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      Even w/ Burrow at QB? I think we win 10 games if he transfers in.
       
    • Acecustis

      Acecustis Well-Known Member

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      We aren't winning 10 games with Will Grier at QB. Burrow ensures a bowl game though.
       
    • BMF

      BMF Junior Member
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      Well, if he comes in we go 'over' on that prediction. If they're giving us 6 to 7 wins w/ Franks or Trask at QB? Yeah, Burrow gives us another 2 or 3 wins easily. The kid is legit and will give us a productive offense for the first time in a decade. Our D will be a top 20 national defense, probably a top 5 SEC D. That's good for "over" 7 wins (and taking 7 is a push if we win 7).
       
    • Acecustis

      Acecustis Well-Known Member

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      I think you are overrating our defense and our OL guarantees at least 3 losses by themselves. With Burrow I got us 7-5. With Franks 5-7. I don't think Trask starts
       
      • InstiGATOR1

        InstiGATOR1 Well-Known Member
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        So you are saying that UF will lose at least one of:

        1. Charleston Southern
        2. Idaho
        3. Colorado State
        4. UK
        5. at Vandy
        6. Missouri
        7. SoCar

        and not upset anyone from the group of at UTn, at Miss State, LSU, UGa, at FSU. Hmmm.
         
        • InstiGATOR1

          InstiGATOR1 Well-Known Member
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          An interesting way of looking at this is to compare this to last season's regular season win total and see who is expected to improve and fall off the most:

          Alabama 2018 regular season win total 10.5, 2017 regular season win total 11: Difference -0.5

          Georgia 2018 regular season win total 10.5, 2017 regular season win total 12: Difference -1.5

          Auburn 2018 regular season win total 9, 2017 regular season win total 10: Difference -1

          Mississippi State 2018 regular season win total 8, 2017 regular season win total 8: Difference 0

          LSU 2018 regular season win total 7.5, 2017 regular season win total 9: Difference -1.5

          Texas A&M 2018 regular season win total 7, 2017 regular season win total 7: Difference 0

          South Carolina 2018 regular season win total 7, 2017 regular season win total 8: Difference -1

          Florida 2018 regular season win total 7, 2017 regular season win total 4: Difference +3

          Missouri 2018 regular season win total 6.5, 2017 regular season win total 7: Difference -0.5

          Ole Miss 2018 regular season win total 6, 2017 regular season win total 6: Difference 0

          Kentucky 2018 regular season win total 6, 2017 regular season win total 6: Difference 0

          Tennessee 2018 regular season win total 5.5, 2017 regular season win total 4: Difference +1.5

          Arkansas 2018 regular season win total 5.5, 2017 regular season win total 4: Difference +1.5

          Vanderbilt 2018 regular season win total 5, 2017 regular season win total 5: Difference 0

          Also clearly someone from LSU 7.5 to UK 6 are going to win well over the number, I think it is very very likely to be UF.
           
          • T REX

            T REX Well-Known Member
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            I think comparing last year's over/under to this year's would be a better comparison. Just MHO.
             
          • MJMGator

            MJMGator Slightly amused
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            Who’s gonna block for him?
             
            • MJMGator

              MJMGator Slightly amused
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              We’re not as good as South Carolina and we’re not much better than UK.
              And why would I believe we’re gonna upset anyone? Because our roster is stacked? Because we have a new coach? Because we have an explosive offense?
              Yeah, don’t get your hopes up until we improve this roster at LB, QB and OL. Mullen has done everything right so far, but he’s gotta get something to work with before we can expect to start beating quality teams.
               
              • InstiGATOR1

                InstiGATOR1 Well-Known Member
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                You certainly have a point, though I would not say a better but just a different comparison. My comparison was last year's reality v. this year's expectations. Your comparison is last year's expectations v. this year's expectations.

                And ask and sometimes you receive:

                https://www.seccountry.com/sec/updated-2017-sec-overunder-win-totals-released-bovada

                Alabama 2017 10.5, 2018 10.5, difference = 0
                Arkansas 2017 7, 2018 5.5, difference = -1.5
                Auburn 2017 8.5, 2018 9, difference = +0.5
                Florida 2017 8, 2018 7, difference = -1
                Georgia 2017 8.5, 2018 10.5, difference = +2
                Kentucky 2017 7, 2018, 6.0, difference = -1
                LSU 2017 9, 2018 7.5, difference = -1.5
                Ole Miss 2017 5.5, 2018 6.0, = +0.5
                Mississippi State 2017 5.5, 2018 8.0, difference = +2.5
                Missouri 2017 6.5, 2018, 6.5, difference = 0
                South Carolina 2017 5.5, 2018 7.0, difference = +1.5
                Tennessee 2017 7.5, 2018 5.5, difference = +2
                Texas A&M 2017 7, 2018, 7.0, difference = 0
                Vanderbilt 2017 6, 2018, 5.0, difference = -1

                These may not be from the same book maker, but I will for message board purposes compare them anyway. There are several things would could seriously and unseriously take from this:

                1. These do not usually change very much from year to year.

                2. Getting rid of Mullen greatly raised Miss St's expectations, while hiring him lowered UF's expectations. This might be one of the unserious comments.

                3. Maybe this belongs on the UK thread, but their number this year is lower than last. To me that further points out that this idea that UK is going to be a surprise team for the 34th consecutive year might be over done.

                4. I was a bit surprised to see that the Mississippi number was both so low last year, but a bit higher this year. I guess that shows how uncertain things were for them heading into last season and that they kept their guy.
                 
                #17 InstiGATOR1, Apr 16, 2018
                Last edited: Apr 16, 2018
              • T REX

                T REX Well-Known Member
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                Bammer hasn't ONLY won ten games in 8 years. Seems like them getting two losses is pretty far out there. That might be a lock. Or not. Those Vegas guys are pretty smart but on the surface that looks like easy money.
                 
              • InstiGATOR1

                InstiGATOR1 Well-Known Member
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                1. In the teams that you consider an upset are two teams that like UF just changed coaches, one UF beat last year and that team had a worse record than UF last year.

                2. Another of the teams is coached by Ed Orgeron. Of course UF lost to them last year.

                3. Another of them lost their coach last season and UF hired him. It to is a road game, but seriously it is Miss. St.

                So there are 3 possible "upsets" in your view. My view is they are must wins and Mullen better win them. But those are possible wins if UF happened to lose one of those other games.
                 
              • MJMGator

                MJMGator Slightly amused
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                UT and LSU have much better rosters.
                When’s our last win over Missy State on the road?
                Take off your orange and blue glasses and face reality. This might be the worst roster we’ve had since 89.
                 

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