ESPN Matchup Predictor

[Big Wave]

Says UF has a 58.4%.

Anyone know if it means anything?

 

[URGatorBait]

no

 

[soflagator]

My insiders tell me it means they think Lsu has a 41.6% chance at winning.

 

[Ancient Reptile]

Everybody likes a little, but nobody likes a.......

My insiders tell me it means they think Lsu has a 41.6% chance at winning.

 

[78]

And yet we opened a 2.5-point dog.

 

[Captain Sasquatch]

We had something like an 80% chance of beating Kentucky before that game.

 

[78]

I don't think I'm getting this algorithm.

 

[MJMGator]

Maff is hard

 

[gardnerwebbgator]

I want a 1990 or 2008 type of ass whipping in this game.

 

[Durty South Swamp]

I think it's just based on votes from a poll.

 

[78]

Maff is hard

This isn't maff. It's Ouija board logic.

 

[InstiGATOR1]

Says UF has a 58.4%.

Anyone know if it means anything?

I think it is based on raw statistics. Thus as the season goes on the strength of opponents tends to get closer among matched up teams and this number become more meaningful, in not perfectly meaningful in a small sample sport.

As far as the odds makers and the public go, college football is all about the zero.

 

[Sec14Gator]

While I triggered some on here noting that LSU isn’t great (and apparently, unintendedly implying they are garbage), beyond ESPN’s efficiency ratings which have us the higher rated team, our offensives have nearly identical yards and points per game. One place we are notably ahead is in passing efficiency.

Our defensive numbers are also nearly identical in total yards and yards per play.

I understand their opponents have probably been better than ours, but there is a reason that despite being ranked in the top 10, LSU is barely favored.

 

[Gatorraid81]

I want a 1990 or 2008 type of ass whipping in this game.

How about a 1996 type of ass whipping?

 

[gardnerwebbgator]

How about a 1996 type of ass whipping?

Sure, I think that was a homecoming game as well.

 

[InstiGATOR1]

How about a 1996 type of ass whipping?

42-6 at the half. Maybe the most complete butt whipping in a half for UF ever.

 

[NVGator]

And yet we opened a 2.5-point dog.

We actually opened at a 3.0 dog. Currently it’s at 2.5 and I expect that to move more narrow until Saturday.

 

[Gatorraid81]

42-6 at the half. Maybe the most complete butt whipping in a half for UF ever.

Remember destroying Auburn and Uga as well, all part of a 3 game stretch I believe. That team was so dominant.

 

[Durty South Swamp]

My concern is that while they have beaten two top ten teams away from home, Our best and maybe only decent win was against failstate, who has zero pass offense.

Everybody down playing LSU is doing so ignorantly. Miami and auburn are very good teams. We'd struggle against either, and I'd have a hard time believing wed beat either. We match up against LSU well tho so we have a decent shot.

 

[78]

The edge in athletes goes to LSU, in coaching to UF. My guess is a dogfight. It usually is with these two teams.

This is a very underrated rivalry.