Just taking a quick glance at this year's OM schedule, he's done exactly what I described. Barely beat an Ark team because Pittman decided to end it(imagine the elation here if Mizzou fails on their 2pt try and we win Saturday). He barely hung on against the vols with a controversial ending. He got crushed by Alabama. He lost an indefensible game to Auburn. And won all the games he's supposed to with one decent win against what will be a 3-4 loss A&M team. All this with a Heisman front runner. Last year looked really similar. The 2009 vols and his teams at Usc did as well.
I have no take on Napier and you could be right. I just don't see anything that tells me LK is the guy that takes us further. Again, his record looks almost identical to Mullen's.