LSU is now favored by 1.5

[BMF]

I'm not sure how many of you degenerate's gamble.....but this line has moved bigtime (about 7 to 8 points, depending on which site you use). The spread is now LSU -1.5. Is there some sort of injury, suspensions, or something we haven't heard about going on? That's a huge move......and shows exactly how the rest of the country perceives this team/program/coaching staff (ours). We're the home team, ranked in the top 25, LSU is unranked, coming off two losses (one a blowout, one to a Group of 5 team) and WE are now the underdog..... Wow!

 

[ThreatMatrix]

Saw us at 3 point favorites this week. Never saw 7 points.

 

[Gator Fever]

That is a crazy move in the line. Some inside info on players being out possibly? LSU is supposedly having to start 2 true freshman on the O line again.

 

[BMF]

Saw us at 3 point favorites this week. Never saw 7 points.

It opened at -6 UF on the two sites I use.....now it's +1.5 and +2 (on those same sites). The line has moved 7+ points in LSU's favor (meaning the money is coming in on LSU). Also, not really the point at where it opened. Say it opened at -3 UF, well it's now +2 UF....that's a 5 point swing for the home team, who is ranked, who is playing a team that just lost at home to Troy and got blown out by Miss State (who turned around and got blown out the next two games). If you ever follow gambling, most games don't move more than 1 point either way once the line is set on Sunday/Monday.

 

[Gatorraid81]

Saw this too, and wondered the same thing about other players being out or suspended. For us to go from a 5 point favorite to a 2 point dog at home, to a team that has been struggling worse than us, something has got to be up. I may need to revise my prediction, I actually had us hanging tough in this game till the end, afraid we may be about to get run off the field now.

 

[T REX]

Weird. I'm sure we would have heard about it by now. And LSU is a mess internally.

 

[alcoholica]

It wasn't but a couple days ago that LSU announced two star players would play, Guise and a DE. Perhaps that?

 

[ThreatMatrix]

It opened at -6 UF on the two sites I use.....now it's +1.5 and +2 (on those same sites). The line has moved 7+ points in LSU's favor (meaning the money is coming in on LSU). Also, not really the point at where it opened. Say it opened at -3 UF, well it's now +2 UF....that's a 5 point swing for the home team, who is ranked, who is playing a team that just lost at home to Troy and got blown out by Miss State (who turned around and got blown out the next two games). If you ever follow gambling, most games don't move more than 1 point either way once the line is set on Sunday/Monday.

So depending on the site it's moved 1 point or 7. You picked the worst case. I get it. Better click bait. First site I found has the line anywhere from +3 to -3.
http://www.oddsshark.com/ncaaf/lsu-florida-odds-october-7-2017-792373
It's a tough game to pick. Nobody knows which LSU team will show up.

 

[BMF]

So depending on the site it's moved 1 point or 7. You picked the worst case. I get it. Better click bait. First site I found has the line anywhere from +3 to -3.
http://www.oddsshark.com/ncaaf/lsu-florida-odds-october-7-2017-792373
It's a tough game to pick. Nobody knows which LSU team will show up.

Reading comprehension is not your friend. I get it.....

 

[Gator Fever]

It wasn't but a couple days ago that LSU announced two star players would play, Guise and a DE. Perhaps that?

That was kind of expected when the lines came out however.

 

[ThreatMatrix]

Reading comprehension is not your friend. I get it.....

Let's try the more logical explanation instead of the conspiracy/injury theory. Vegas set the line based on the Troy performance. As the week as progressed betters have taken a more critical look and realize that LSU is, in fact, a talented team and the line has moved to where it probably should have been since day one. Reading comprehension is only the first step, critical thinking is the next. Try it some time.

 

[G8trwood]

Maybe because Vandy is kicking arse today.

 

[FireFoley]

If there was going to be massive player suspensions or there was a big injury, the game would have been taken off the board. This happens some in college football where lines move a lot as the week goes on. To me all it means is that the majority of the money has been bet on LSU causing the line to move significantly. Remember betting lines are set to get equal amounts of money on both sides. Vegas does not care who wins, they just want equal money so they are guaranteed the vig. In this case, it sets up for a perfect middle for anyone who took LSU + the points early and is now taking UF + the points. Some people might say that the "smart" money has come in on LSU. but I just think a lot of people bet on names and/or trends and probably thought this line was out of whack early on.

 

[crosscreekcooter]

I could use some whack

 

[rogdochar]

That's a field goal that travels halfway there.

 

[GatorStud]

Bring it, Corn Dogs...

 

[InstiGATOR1]

It wasn't but a couple days ago that LSU announced two star players would play, Guise and a DE. Perhaps that?

That is one plausible explanation, but for a non QB playing usually does not move the line that much.

 

[GatorJ]

It wasn't but a couple days ago that LSU announced two star players would play, Guise and a DE. Perhaps that?

Believe that's it - plus the fact that Campbell and Clark may not be playing. Two massive guys not on the DL

 

[SC Gator]

Most I’ve seen a line move without an announcement of some sort especially the line moving against the home team.

 

[Swamp Donkey]

Believe that's it - plus the fact that Campbell and Clark may not be playing. Two massive guys not on the DL

If this forces the coaches to play Slaton and Conliffe, then our defense is better. Much better, even if they make a few mistakes.