***NCAA Tournament*** Florida vs Virginia

[GatorBart]

Yes it is a team game and if say three of our better players got hot at the same time it would be a sure victory. I would be very happy if at the end of the game we could clear the bench. We have not been able to do that enough. Getting all the players the experience would be great.

Wisky cleared the bench last night, with 0.6 seconds remaining in the game.

 

[FireFoley]

This could be an interesting game. UVA's style, vs. UF who has no style but can play a variety of ways. UVA is going to be extremely physical on defense and bump cutters and try to coax players to areas of the floor they don;t want to be. On offense UVA has a lot of trouble scoring but I look for them to try and exploit UF's lack of physicality in the paint by trying to go down low and try and control the offensive boards. UVA plays in very low scoring games b/c they are great defensively and also b/c they milk the shot clock on offense. Since we really do not have a set style and tend to meld into the other team's pace, I think it is crucial for us not to panic b/c we are going to get many fewer possessions than we are accustomed to. Therefore I feel it is imperative to be very smart with our shot selection, b/c chances are we are going to get fewer shots. Many times opponents of UVA get so panicky on offense b/c they are not getting a lot of shots, they jack up the first thing they can and often times that plays into UVA's hands. Taking good shots is step one and is easily controllable. Making those shots is another story but that is why they play the game. If we force UVA out of their style, UF can easily beat this UVA team.

 

[InstiGATOR1]

I'm seeing 127 with the Gators favored by 1 (-1). But I can't access Vegas Insider at work to see the current listing, but low 120s I think would be about right. Those rims seemed tight on Thursday and the pressure's going to be amped up to entirely different level, with two of the best defenses in the country going at it. I'd be very surprised if either team breaks 70, and if one does, I'd expect it to be us since we average 78 per game and they only average 66. UVA averages 56 points against, while we average 66 points against, what they normally score. Let's say UVA gets their average of 66 (which is also the average we give up) and UVA keeps us under our scoring average, about half way between what we average per game and what they give up per game. We win 67-66. Book it and take the over.

Excellent analysis and that may be what happens, if UVa wins the battle of tempo. If UF can speed things up a bit, then maybe UF can get into the 70s. In 2012, I think it was good shooting early by UF that sped up the game.

 

[Jbossgator8]

UVA wants to slow the game down. We need to speed the game up and use our athletic abilities for dunks, layups, and kick outs to the 3 point line like we did in the 2nd half vs ETSU. Go Gators!!

 

[ChiefGator]

Wisky cleared the bench last night, with 0.6 seconds remaining in the game.

I would prefer it to be for longer than that, but who knows if the conditions will exist. I think most of the team did get on the floor.

 

[ChiefGator]

UVA wants to slow the game down. We need to speed the game up and use our athletic abilities for dunks, layups, and kick outs to the 3 point line like we did in the 2nd half vs ETSU. Go Gators!!

I agree if we can get turnovers perhaps time to show some zone press if we have that capability.

 

[GatorBart]

I agree if we can get turnovers perhaps time to show some zone press if we have that capability.

Would be interesting to see if we actually threw a real full court press on them would that speed them up into our type of game. Normally we play man press and eat up 10 seconds, but UVA will likely be very content with that given their style. We need to speed the game up, but like FF said, we need to take good shots as well, and make them.

 

[t-gator]

Does anyone know how well uva takes care of the ball?

 

[GatorBart]

Does anyone know how well uva takes care of the ball?

Assist to T/O is 14.1 to 9.5 per game.
Ours is 12.7 to 11.9 per game. That equals about 3.5 positive points for them, assuming they shoot 50% on the T/O differential. Gonna be a good, hard nosed game. But I hope we blow em out.

 

[t-gator]

Assist to T/O is 14.1 to 9.5 per game.
Ours is 12.7 to 11.9 per game. That equals about 3.5 positive points for them, assuming they shoot 50% on the T/O differential. Gonna be a good, hard nosed game. But I hope we blow em out.

Thanks. I think part of that is the pace they play at compared to how we play. I was just wondering because I think one of the reasons vandy gave us so much trouble is they don't turn the ball over. We have to get some transition points in this game somehow.

 

[MertzJay26]

I'm nervous.

 

[Go Gata]

I could see this game playing out like our match-ups with USCe: slow play and low scoring. Offensive rebounding could be huge.

 

[GatorStud]

Good luck in the 32 tourney today. Go Gators!

 

[URGatorBait]

I see this as a game where UF plays out of their minds, wins convincingly, just to get our hopes up in the next round

 

[diehardg8r]

I will look forward to watching us, clearly with a huge size advantage, play right into their hands with Hill and Chiozza competing to see who can turn the ball over the most and shooting 3's. Hayes will be a non-factor since most of the offensive rebound potential goes out the window when your shot selection is 25 ft from the basket. We win but closer than it should be.

 

[Captain Sasquatch]

Really annoyed that we have to wait all day for this game.

 

[gardnerwebbgator]

Two words....force tempo. Get the game into the 70's and we win with ease....**** around and keep it in the low to mid 60's and we lose.

 

[stephenPE]

Really annoyed that we have to wait all day for this game.

That is to our advantage I think. IF Devin R has another good game we win. He aid his mom went to UVA and they never recruited him. I hope he takes that personally. If we take care of the ball and Allen finds the basket we are money.

 

[gardnerwebbgator]

Early starts are rougher. Playing the second game in a two game session is tougher as well since the tip time fluctuates.

Bought concert tix for tonight at 8, assuming our tip gets pushed back to 9 or so, I'll get home to see most of it.

 

[T REX]

We struggle in the half court game. Tempo tempo tempo.

If the score is in the 50's - UVA is probably winning

If we can push the ball up the court for most of the game and get this into the high 60's or 70's - UF wins