- Sep 8, 2014
- 25,447
- 59,442
**Missouri at Florida**
-- As of Friday afternoon, most books had Florida (6-2 SU, 6-2 ATS) installed as a six-point home favorite with a total of 57. The Tigers were +190 on the money line.
-- Florida is 3-1 both SU and ATS in four home games this year. In last week’s loss to UGA, third-year redshirt sophomore QB Feleipe Franks missed a wide-open Vann Jefferson on the first play from scrimmage. Trailing 3-0 after UGA got a score on its opening drive, Dan Mullen dialed up a flea-flicker on the first play and Jefferson was 7-8 yards behind the closest defender. Franks overthrew him by at least five yards. He would later throw an interception and fumble at UF’s own 2. In that case, however, the Florida defense produced a seven-play goal-line stand (UGA got a fresh set of downs after a shaky PI call) that was reminiscent of the 49ers’ epic goal-line stand vs. the Bengals in the early 1980s Super Bowl played at the old Silverdome in Pontiac, Michigan.
-- Florida star cornerback C.J. Henderson was injured in the first quarter vs. UGA and left the game without returning. Nevertheless, he’s ‘probable' vs. Mizzou and is expected to start. Starting safety Brad Stewart, who had the game-clinching pick-six in the win over LSU, was suspended and didn’t play against Georgia. Stewart is listed as ‘probable' vs. Missouri, but I’m not sure bettors can trust that because Mullen told the media he’d play last week after being asked about his status.
-- Missouri (4-4 SU, 4-4 ATS) remained winless in four SEC games when UK rallied to victory in Columbia last week. Drew Lock completed 15-of-27 passes for 165 yards. The senior signal caller has a 16/6 TD-INT ratio for the season, but he’s only thrown one TD pass compared to five picks against conference opponents.
-- Even though he’s missed five straight games, Emanuel Hall remains Mizzou’s WR leader with 18 receptions for 430 yards and three TDs. The third-team All-SEC selection last year has been dealing with a groin injury and the recent passing of his father. The Tigers are optimistic that he can play this week, although he’s listed as ‘questionable.’
-- Barry Odom’s club is 1-2 SU and 0-3 ATS on the road. As a road underdog during his three-year tenure, Missouri has limped to a 2-6 ATS record.
-- Odom is 0-7 in seven games against ranked teams. Lock is 0-9 when starting against a ranked foe. Since the Gators are ranked, both guys get a chance to remove the donut from those resumes.
-- The ‘over’ is 2-0-1 for UF in its past three games, 4-3-1 overall. Totals have been a wash for the Gators at home (2-2). They’ve seen their games average combined scores of 51.2 PPG.
-- The ‘over’ is 5-2-1 overall for the Tigers, but they’ve seen the ‘under’ cash in two of their past three games. Missouri’s games have averaged combined scores of 64.4 PPG.
-- Kickoff is slated for 4:00 p.m. Eastern on the SEC Network.
-- As of Friday afternoon, most books had Florida (6-2 SU, 6-2 ATS) installed as a six-point home favorite with a total of 57. The Tigers were +190 on the money line.
-- Florida is 3-1 both SU and ATS in four home games this year. In last week’s loss to UGA, third-year redshirt sophomore QB Feleipe Franks missed a wide-open Vann Jefferson on the first play from scrimmage. Trailing 3-0 after UGA got a score on its opening drive, Dan Mullen dialed up a flea-flicker on the first play and Jefferson was 7-8 yards behind the closest defender. Franks overthrew him by at least five yards. He would later throw an interception and fumble at UF’s own 2. In that case, however, the Florida defense produced a seven-play goal-line stand (UGA got a fresh set of downs after a shaky PI call) that was reminiscent of the 49ers’ epic goal-line stand vs. the Bengals in the early 1980s Super Bowl played at the old Silverdome in Pontiac, Michigan.
-- Florida star cornerback C.J. Henderson was injured in the first quarter vs. UGA and left the game without returning. Nevertheless, he’s ‘probable' vs. Mizzou and is expected to start. Starting safety Brad Stewart, who had the game-clinching pick-six in the win over LSU, was suspended and didn’t play against Georgia. Stewart is listed as ‘probable' vs. Missouri, but I’m not sure bettors can trust that because Mullen told the media he’d play last week after being asked about his status.
-- Missouri (4-4 SU, 4-4 ATS) remained winless in four SEC games when UK rallied to victory in Columbia last week. Drew Lock completed 15-of-27 passes for 165 yards. The senior signal caller has a 16/6 TD-INT ratio for the season, but he’s only thrown one TD pass compared to five picks against conference opponents.
-- Even though he’s missed five straight games, Emanuel Hall remains Mizzou’s WR leader with 18 receptions for 430 yards and three TDs. The third-team All-SEC selection last year has been dealing with a groin injury and the recent passing of his father. The Tigers are optimistic that he can play this week, although he’s listed as ‘questionable.’
-- Barry Odom’s club is 1-2 SU and 0-3 ATS on the road. As a road underdog during his three-year tenure, Missouri has limped to a 2-6 ATS record.
-- Odom is 0-7 in seven games against ranked teams. Lock is 0-9 when starting against a ranked foe. Since the Gators are ranked, both guys get a chance to remove the donut from those resumes.
-- The ‘over’ is 2-0-1 for UF in its past three games, 4-3-1 overall. Totals have been a wash for the Gators at home (2-2). They’ve seen their games average combined scores of 51.2 PPG.
-- The ‘over’ is 5-2-1 overall for the Tigers, but they’ve seen the ‘under’ cash in two of their past three games. Missouri’s games have averaged combined scores of 64.4 PPG.
-- Kickoff is slated for 4:00 p.m. Eastern on the SEC Network.
