2018 LeeForThree/Gatorchatter Bracketology

Discussion in 'Main Sports Forum' started by LeeForThree, Mar 1, 2018.

  1. LeeForThree

    LeeForThree Let It Fly

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    Screenshot_2018-03-01-13-43-08.png
     
    • LeeForThree

      LeeForThree Let It Fly

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      Let me kow if the screen shot came out?

      Not sure how esle to paste it I here lol
       
    • GatorBart

      GatorBart :bandit:
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      No problem viewing the screenshot from my phone.
       
      • Ancient Reptile

        Ancient Reptile Senior Member
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        If we beat UK again, will they still be seeded ahead of us?
         
        #4 Ancient Reptile, Mar 1, 2018
        Last edited: Mar 1, 2018
      • ATXGator

        ATXGator Austin Gator
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        Screen shot came out.

        Can we not be the 5/12 matchup please!!!

        If we beat a very hot UK team on Saturday and make a run in the tourney I think we have a slim chance of moving up to a 4.
         
      • LeeForThree

        LeeForThree Let It Fly

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        No
         
      • LeeForThree

        LeeForThree Let It Fly

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        Agreed. I have us as the best 5 so a win vs UK may plant us as a 4 imo regardless of the tourneys...unless something crazy happens. I think our quad 1 wins will be taken more it account and bump us up than our losses bring us down
         
        • Captain Sasquatch

          Captain Sasquatch Mr. SQ, the Sashole
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          I'd be very surprised if we crashed the 4 line with 11 losses, even if we beat UK and win the SECT. Then again, if we did that, we'd have a boat load of quality wins in our pockets.
           
        • Great White Buffalo

          Great White Buffalo Well-Known Member

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          My best guess is we're a 7 right now. I know we've got great wins, but we're still only 19-11. All the losses have to hurt us.

          Beat UK and lose in first round of SEC - 7
          Beat UK and win one game in SEC - 6
          Beat UK and lose in SEC finals - 5
          Beat UK and win SEC tourney - 4
          Lose to UK and lose in 1st round - 10
          Lose to UK and win one game in SEC - 8 or 9
          Lose to UK and lose in SEC finals - 6 or 7
          Lose to UK and win SEC tourney - 5
           
          • ATXGator

            ATXGator Austin Gator
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            I think the committee will have made their decision before the SEC finals is over, so winning it won't make a difference vs. just getting there.
             
          • NVGator

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            No way we are higher than a 6 seed.

            No way Nevada is lower than a 6 seed.
             
            • playzwtrux

              playzwtrux Wait,... what?

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              :burn:
               
            • Jay26

              Jay26 Senior Member
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              Cool story, bro
               
            • Captain Sasquatch

              Captain Sasquatch Mr. SQ, the Sashole
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              6 seed or not, that opening game upset for Nevada is gonna suck.
               
              • NVGator

                NVGator Member
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              • Great White Buffalo

                Great White Buffalo Well-Known Member

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                You may be right. Sometimes it seems to matter, sometimes it doesn't. Hard to predict how those clowns will handle it.
                 
              • Captain Sasquatch

                Captain Sasquatch Mr. SQ, the Sashole
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                I honestly think that since our championship game is always so late in the process, if both teams are already a lock for the tourney, the result of one game doesn’t matter with seeding. If it’s a case where a team is making a Cinderella run through the SECT, they have to wait, but other than that, the hay’s already in the barn at that point.
                 
                • InstiGATOR1

                  InstiGATOR1 Well-Known Member
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                  That is flat out cruel AND I LOVE IT. Now maybe this year UF would finally struggle offensively against UVa and they would not implode offensively, but you know any UVa fan seeing this bracket would have nightmares about losing to UF 79 to 29 or something again this year.
                   
                  • InstiGATOR1

                    InstiGATOR1 Well-Known Member
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                    You would think that but these committee have a history of focusing on who you beat. Some of the argument is that if you play 25 quadrant 1 and 2 games you are bound to lose some of them. UF not only has a high number of quadrant 1 wins, but several of them are against teams very high in quadrant 1. UF also has a winning road record this year and these committees have a history of rewarding that.
                     
                    • InstiGATOR1

                      InstiGATOR1 Well-Known Member
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                      I think UF's seed is not easy to guess this year and maybe all seeds will be more problematic because of the new win quadrants. So how about a little data here.

                      I looked up via the brackmatrix site:

                      http://www.bracketmatrix.com/

                      and their accuracy scoring each year what ESPN (presumably Lundari), CBS (presumably Palm), the bracket martix each predicted for UF's eventual seed compared to UF's actual seed.

                      Here is what I found:

                      2017: UF was a 4 seed, ESPN projected UF a 4, CBS projected UF a 5 and the Bracket matrix average was a 4.

                      2014: UF was the overall number 1 seed with a 25ish game winning streak so all three had UF a 1 seed.

                      2013: UF was a 3 seed, ESPN said 4, CBS said 3 and the Bracket Matrix average was a 3.

                      2012: UF was a 7 seed, ESPN predicted 5, CBS predicted 7 and the Bracket Matrix average was 6.

                      2011: UF was a 2 seed, ESPN and CBS projected UF a 3 seed, while the Bracket Matrix average was a 2.

                      2010: UF was a 10 seed, ESPN had UF out of field, CBS had UF as a 11 seed and the Bracket Matrix average had UF a 12 seed.

                      2007: UF of course returned all five starters from the previous tourney championship team and was the number 1 overall seed and you might think this would be just like 2014, but no ESPN and CBS had UF as a 2 seed while the bracket matrix average had UF as a 1 seed.

                      2006: UF was a 3 seed, ESPN, CBS and the Bracket Matrix average all said 4.

                      So the bracket matrix was dead on 75% of the time, CBS was dead on 62.5% of the time and ESPN was dead on 37.5% of the time. On average the bracket matrix had UF a quarter seed to low, CBS had UF .375 seed too low or a bit more than a 3rd of a seed too low and ESPN had UF three quarters of a seed too low if I call the year they missed UF in the field at all giving UF a 14th seed.
                       

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