Using current ratings, Ohio State's toughest game between now and Week 12 comes against Penn State, a game Ohio State is projected to win 92 percent of the time with an average margin of 24 points. Minnesota might soon rank ahead of PSU, but what would that mean? Only a 20-point projected margin and a 90 percent chance?
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[On putting tOSU against the Boise State schedule]
On average, Ohio State is projected to win 11.3 games against its current 12-game schedule, now that the win over Virginia Tech is in the books. With Boise State's remaining slate, that increases to only 11.6.
Part of that is because Ohio State is just so damn good. Other than maybe Alabama in Tuscaloosa, the Buckeyes would be favored against any college team in any locale. But part is because Boise's schedule is only so much harder; Ohio State has five opponents ranked 70th or worse, and BSU has seven.
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[On Alabama with their remaining schedule]
Despite having a greater than 50 percent chance in every game, Alabama still has a projected win total of just 9.6, thanks to a schedule that has already featured one top-30 opponent and has eight more on the way.
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[On putting tOSU against the Alabama schedule]
With Ohio State's slight superiority, the above schedule is still pretty brutal. The Buckeyes would be projected to win 9.9 games against this hypothetical 12-game slate. They could live up to every bit of their billing and still finish 10-2 or 9-3.
(Meanwhile, with the Buckeyes' schedule, Alabama would be projected to win 11.1 games.)