Here's a good quote from Herman on his first signing class (from coaching search):
Tom Herman knows the odds of his first Texas recruiting class becoming great aren’t super high, because it’s the case for every new head coach.
The Longhorns only signed 18 players and had the No. 26 class. But Herman pointed to Urban Meyer’s first Ohio State class.
“We knew through all the metrics, all the analytics, all the numbers that point to most of the time in years of transition in coaching staffs, that signing class has the highest rate of attrition,” Herman said on Longhorn Network. “Meaning kids that quit, has the highest rate of off-field issues including academics, drugs and social, and has the highest rate of guys that can’t play, and don’t ever see the field.
“I even went back to check, and when we took over at Ohio State in 2012, we signed 19 guys, and it was considered the fifth-ranked recruiting class in the country, and I went back five years later and looking back at it, there were only three of those 19 that saw significant playing time for us at Ohio State. I didn’t want to fall into the same trap.”