IDK, I’d be surprised by 4 teams in the 16.
I’d be less surprised by zero SEC teams in the 16.
By my quick count the SEC is seeded to win 9 games in the tourney.
UTn is a 3rd seed and thus by seed is expected to win two games.
AU is a 4th seed and thus by seed is expected to win two games.
UK is a 5th seed and thus by seed is expected to win one game.
UF is a 6th seed and thus by seed is expected to win one game.
UAR is a 7th seed and thus by seed is expected to win one game.
aTm is a 7th seed and thus by seed is expected to win one game.
UMo is an 8th seed and thus by seed is expected to win one game.
UAL is a 9th seed and thus by seed is expected to win zero games.
How a conference performs vis-a-vis seeds is how I judge how a conference does. This of course means the SEC should end up with two round of 16 teams, UTn and AU. We shall see how many the SEC ends up with, certainly AU has suffered a significant injury and may not be the team its record indicates.