Realistically I can see Oklahoma & Utah losing...I think there is a pretty good chance of this happening. Bama losing to Auburn isn’t as likely but certainly not out of the reasonable realm of possibility.
Now, how about considering some “crazy” stuff. OSU losing to Michigan and then losing to a 2 loss Wisconsin (let’s assume they beat MN next week) in the conference title game. Georgia losing to GA Tech and then thumping LSU in the SECCG. How about LSU losing to TAM (not completely out of the question IMO) but beating UGA (with victory over GA Tech secured) in the SECCG? How about Clemson losing their conference title game?
I don’t think all these things will happen. I do believe SOME of these things will happen, though, and the question is just how much craziness will ensue? My guess is that enough craziness will occur to have us at #5 in the final CFP poll, just outside of those that get to play on.