How many true freshmen offensive tackles can play in the SEC?
They generally don't have real on-field value until they are in year 2 at the earliest, usually year 3, with the real value in years 4 and 5.
So do you want to pay a bazillion dollars in NIL money to a hotshot 5star left tackle to ride your bench for a couple of years, then, when he finally starts playing, if he's any good you'll have to pay him more not to leave and go elsewhere?
Or does it make more sense to husband your resources and have the cash to steal the kid from some other school after he's grown up and proved himself and only pay him for his best 2 years?
On the other hand, true freshmen WR like Jeremiah Smith (tOSU) and Ryan Williams ('Bama) last year and Malachi Toney (Miami) this year prove that the WR position is different.
Your calculus on recruiting HS versus portal needs to take these differences into account.
The portal serves double duty. It gives you an opportunity to push out the busts. A lot of our outgoing portal this year is dudes who can't play. If you paid a bunch of NIL to a HS recruit MLB and he's in year 3 and can't play a lick, you have a problem because you counted on him being a contributor. If you just ditch him, your roster becomes unbalanced, you've got a hole at LB. You can't replace him with a HS recruit who won't be ready to play for a couple of years, you need somebody who can play now. So, you use the portal to ditch him and bring in a better performing redshirt sophomore who can contribute now to fill that hole. That's the other side of the portal, you use it to fill in experienced player holes that can't be filled in by a true freshman.
Alex.