This Week's SEC Matchups. Which Home Team is most at risk for a loss?

lagator

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Some interesting games and the home teams could be challenged with a few suffering home loses.

UF @ UK; Line: UF -3. Cats pissed at being the home dog despite outplaying the Gators last year, and coming off a big road win at USC (which remarkably was their first SEC road win since 2009). UK has all the motivation they could possibly need to try to finally end a losing streak in it's 3rd decade. It's almost like the entire Stoops project hinges on this one game. They got the 22 game road losing streak off their back. They bring an experienced big QB who should be able to stand up to a good Gator pass rush. They have finally recruited and developed a Defense that can compete in the SEC. Is this the game that finally gets them over the hump to compete in the SEC East? I don't think so. UF should get a lift from some key returning players and should have plenty of motivation themselves after a bad win and an ass chewing from their new coach over careless and selfish play. Some traditions are almost impossible to break and UF beating UK in FB is nearly a given. 35-21 UF.

USC @ UGA: Line: UGA - 16.5. On paper this looks like a blowout which explains why Vegas has UGA as 16.5 point favorites. The Dogs haven't been challenged yet, and only played 3 Q's in their last Blowout win. They have the running game rolling and have looked stout on both LOS. The Cocks meanwhile come in limp after barely surviving their first game, then losing at home to a team that had a 22 road SEC losing streak. They haven't been able to get the offense going at all, and although the defense should be somewhat improved over last years anemic effort, they haven't faced anything like Chubb and Co. But their hope hangs on the intangible of Spurrier vs Richt. The Old Ball coach has owned this rivalry recently having won 3 of the last 4. He will need his team to play much better to keep it close, but probably too much to expect due to the talent discrepancy. 31-21 UGA.

Coastal Carolina @ UT: No Line. The Buttchuggers win big in a gimme game and will be looking ahead to their road trip to UF.


UConn @ Mizzou: Line Missouri - 20.5: Mizzou hasn't been very impressive this year and struggled bad on offense in a narrow victory against Ark St. UConn isn't a good team by any stretch but comparable to the Ark St team that challenged Pinkel's squad, and as good as the Indiana team that had a surprise win in Columbia last year. But Pinkel is a good coach and will have his team focused and should manage to get the win. A surprise upset isn't out of the question, and I don't think they cover the large spread. 35-28 UM.

Austin Peay @ Vandy: No Line. This is Vandy's only sure win on the schedule, and could very well be their only win of the season so the home crowd better enjoy it. They'll have a shot at wins at Middle Tenn St and less likely at Houston, but a 1 or 2 win season is not only possible but down right probable and they'll be once again looking for a new coach soon.

Auburn @ LSU: Line: LSU -7. Cat fight in Baton Rouge. LSU looked solid in the run game and on defense, but pretty weak in passing offense in their only game. Although it was a good win, they weren't overly impressive holding on for a road win at Miss St. First game was a rain out so they have had less in game preparation than their opponents. Auburn looked flat out horrible and probably should have lost against a Team most had never heard of, and most would be looking at the wrong state when trying to find them on a map. The curse of Chump is in full swing, with their previously high powered offense in full meltdown mode with 5 INTs in the first 2 games. It's a daytime start which helps the Barn a little. Like some have pointed out, Muskchimp is a bit of a one trick pony as DC, but stopping the run is that one trick. LSU will need to prove they can stretch the field better than they did against Miss St. Auburn finds some offense and the game comes down to the final drive. An upset looks very possible but Luck tends to shine on the Hatter and bend over the Chump, so LSU should pull off the close win but I need to pick some upsets so. 28-27 Barn.

Ole Miss @ Bama: Line Bama -7. OM comes in with the nations most productive offense after 2 games averaging a gaudy 75 points per game. Defense has also been stout giving up 12 points per game and around 300 yards, But they've been playing patsies, and we've seen first hand how that can make an offense look a lot better than it really is. Now they're facing a well oiled defensive machine on the road against one of the top coaches in FB. Saban has been looking for revenge since last years upset loss and the home crowd, stout lines and downhill running from Derrick Henry will be too much to overcome. Bama has won 10 of the last 11 meetings, and expecting OM to beat Saban twice in a row is pretty outlandish. Bama wins comfortably and covers in statement game. 35-17 Bama.

Nevada @ aTm: Line A&M -34. Sounds about right. Line sounds about right. Easy blowout for the aggies.

Texas Tech @ Arkansas: Line: Ark - 12. "Saw" still stunned after a home loss to the Lowly MAC, although decent Toledo team. It didn't help that Bielema had spent much of the first week Back Sassing other conferences schedules while failing to take care of his own and the SEC own business. There are serious questions about Ark running game, red zone offense and kicking game. Meanwhile TT aint all that intimidating and they don't really play defense, but they do tend to score so if this turns into a shootout it could be trouble for the home team. But the Hogs should bounce back form an embarrassing loss and find a way to win. 45-31 Ark.

N'Western St @ Miss St: No Line. How do they keep coming up with teams I've never heard of? Miss St suffers an embarrassing Blow Out win. 70-0 Miss St.
 
Dec 10, 2014
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I think Georgia absolutely throttles usc. A lot of pent up rage will be blown on Spurrier in that game. Don't envy him
 

URGatorBait

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Kentucky, Bama and Arkansas.

I can see Kentucky definitely losing, Arkansas on the fence but certainly capable of losing with Bama being an interesting game and could go either way.
 

GatorJ

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Kentucky is most likely to lose.
 

gardnerwebbgator

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If it was Coastal Carolina and not Western Carolina, I would put UT in the mix.

The answer is UK, followed closely by UGA. Spurrier has alot to prove this week, the naysayers, led by Slimebaum, are out in force saying he is done. He HATES UGA with a passion, and will work that hate into a close game, if not an upset.
 

Gator Fever

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Kentucky, LSU, Bama in that order are most likely to lose
 

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