Recruiting NSD 2022

Alagator

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:rotfl::rotfl::rotfl:
Really stop and think about what you just said....Bama has dominated the last 12 years and won a bunch of NC's because they are the most talented team year in and year out....Do you not think we were the most talented in 2008?
In football the most talented team wins probably well over 90% of the time. Yes there are upsets from time to time.

It really boils down to me touching a nerve in this thread and I get it...I didn't want to get smashed by UCF either(or USCe, Mizzou, UK or taken into the 4th quarter by a HS team on Senior Day) but it happened. Making excuses like grown men(I guess) are doing in here is downright embarrassing....
Blockhead loves to argue. Tell us again about how the redshirt rule works? :stickpoke:
 

B52G8rAC

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An old quote is apropos here. "The race is not always to the swift, not the battle to the strong. But that's the way to bet." is the Vegas premise.
 

Concrete Helmet

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No, they MOVE the line based on money that is bet. They can't "form a line based on money already bet," because if there was no line, how was money already bet?
More times than not when it comes to CFB in an opening game they have nothing much to base a spread on...yes they might use pre season ranking, home field if there is one, but more times than not the more historically relevant team will open as a favorite....this is well known.

Now lets look at the situation at hand as discussed. You have one team coming off a losing season that lost all of their decent players to transfer or exhausted eligibility. That same team is starting all over with a new UNPROVEN coach, new system and didn't really have a stellar recruiting class OR to this point bring in a lot of true difference makers in the transfer portal. This team does not have a named starter at QB although it appears there is one often injured one is on the horizon.

The other team has a very talented returning QB(was injured almost all of last year) has plenty of returning talent around him and on both sides of the ball and AN ESTABLISHED COACH in his second year where most likely he will see huge leaps the odds spread the returning players executing that scheme....

If this were a neutral site game I'd find it hard to believe it would be more than a 1 or 2 point spread either way until the betting money shifted one way or the other....
 

Concrete Helmet

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Just quit I've tied you into a knot so bad you're circling back trying to cover your original point...either that or you just want to argue a losing point into oblivion....WE ARE NOT AT A DECIDED TALENT ADVANTAGE against nearly 3/4's of next seasons schedule, equal to maybe.....
 

G. Gordon Gator

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More times than not when it comes to CFB in an opening game they have nothing much to base a spread on...yes they might use pre season ranking, home field if there is one, but more times than not the more historically relevant team will open as a favorite....this is well known.

Now lets look at the situation at hand as discussed. You have one team coming off a losing season that lost all of their decent players to transfer or exhausted eligibility. That same team is starting all over with a new UNPROVEN coach, new system and didn't really have a stellar recruiting class OR to this point bring in a lot of true difference makers in the transfer portal. This team does not have a named starter at QB although it appears there is one often injured one is on the horizon.

The other team has a very talented returning QB(was injured almost all of last year) has plenty of returning talent around him and on both sides of the ball and AN ESTABLISHED COACH in his second year where most likely he will see huge leaps the odds spread the returning players executing that scheme....

If this were a neutral site game I'd find it hard to believe it would be more than a 1 or 2 point spread either way until the betting money shifted one way or the other....
What "situation at hand" are you talking about here? What you described was not the situation going into the Gasparilla Bowl game, which is what I was talking about.

Maybe I misunderstood you -- were you not arguing that UCF had more talent on their roster than we did for the Gasparilla Bowl?
 

Concrete Helmet

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What "situation at hand" are you talking about here? What you described was not the situation going into the Gasparilla Bowl game, which is what I was talking about.

Maybe I misunderstood you -- were you not arguing that UCF had more talent on their roster than we did for the Gasparilla Bowl?
If the 2 teams played a neutral site game to open next season. Who would be favorite? Some here are trying to convince me we are at a HUGE talent advantage that Vegas and everyone except me knows about....

Hell I tell you what....what are the odds going to be with Utah? I'll bet we have a HUGE talent advantage over them too....
 

G. Gordon Gator

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If the 2 teams played a neutral site game to open next season. Who would be favorite? Some here are trying to convince me we are at a HUGE talent advantage that Vegas and everyone except me knows about....

Hell I tell you what....what are the odds going to be with Utah? I'll bet we have a HUGE talent advantage over them too....
Oh okay. My bad. I thought you were talking about the comparative talent at the time of the Bowl game.

IF we played UCF at a neutral site to open next season, I sincerely believe we would be favored. Not sure by how much. I think the oddsmakers would anticipate that the bettors would believe that pound-for-pound we still have a more talented roster than UCF, despite our admitted recruiting struggles under Mullinz, and that our players' minds would be right going into that game.

To form the latter opinion you need look no further than the "Foundation" tweets that the official UF Football Twitterbox has been putting out ALREADY. The intensity and enthusiasm evident in those videos is only going to increase as it gets closer to the season.
 

BNAG8R

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JFC I didn’t think I’d see someone jboss an actual thread, but 4 straight posts and 5 of 6 is “owned and destroyed” level narcissism.
 

oxrageous

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If the 2 teams played a neutral site game to open next season. Who would be favorite? Some here are trying to convince me we are at a HUGE talent advantage that Vegas and everyone except me knows about....

Hell I tell you what....what are the odds going to be with Utah? I'll bet we have a HUGE talent advantage over them too....
UF absolutely has a talent advantage and the home field and will be favored. The Gators will cover the spread.
 

maheo30

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Interrupting Auburn boy’s posts to let everyone know there is a recruit committing today. Sir Arlis Boardingham III is deciding between Oregon and God’s team. From what I’ve read, he is expected to choose to serve God and play for UF.
 

soflagator

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Interrupting Auburn boy’s posts to let everyone know there is a recruit committing today. Sir Arlis Boardingham III is deciding between Oregon and God’s team. From what I’ve read, he is expected to choose to serve God and play for UF.

I’ve come around on this guy after him getting the green light from @ltraz . Plus as GGG pointed, I think he’s from old steel money, so NIL shouldn’t be a concern.
 

oxrageous

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Why would a player ever post a picture of himself wearing one of those ridiculous padded helmets? You look like a mental patient.
 

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