Recruiting 2020 Recruiting Thread: Gervon Dexter gets 5th Star on Rivals

[ThreatMatrix]

Im not saying they dont matter. Im just saying they mean very little before their sr season.

You would think. I’m sure there’s some confirmation bias that goes on. Once a kid is ranked they don’t often change unless something big happens. And we know most of the rating agencies don’t actually watch tape. I would guess any kid below 250 has a huge margin for error. 100-250 less of an error and the top 100 even less.

 

[GatorMan5K]

Guess im just thinking of the few that change. You know, they commit to bama and jump from 3 stars to 5.

 

[ThreatMatrix]

Guess im just thinking of the few that change. You know, they commit to bama and jump from 3 stars to 5.

LOL. Well yeah there’s that.

 

[rogdochar]

Geez. Next you will try to tell us that how they perform on the field is as important as how well they do the cone drill.

For sure, we should go for cone-drill 5* guys.

 

[Swamp Donkey]

At this point do the stars matter that much? Ok settle down and breath. Hear me out.
Aren't tye stars at this point a lot like way too early top 25 polls? They still have their sr season to play. Some 4 stats will become 5. Some bwcome 3. Just as some 3's move up to 4. I mean at what point do we trust our scouts?

This guy considers playing the lottery a valid retirement plan.

 

[Swamp Donkey]

Im not saying they dont matter. Im just saying they mean very little before their sr season.

I agree with this, some, but frankly we cant do the Mcelwain plan of trying to wait til after their senior season or Jan 15 to start recruiting.

 

[gatormandan]

Rum fingers...

 

[GatorMan5K]

This guy considers playing the lottery a valid retirement plan.

Not all of us have a cushy place under Ox's desk to fall back on.

 

[Swamp Donkey]

Not all of us have a cushy place under Ox's desk to fall back on.

$20 is $20

 

[-THE DUDE-]

For the stars don’t matter crowd of the first round picks last night...

5* = 8
4* = 10
3* = 11
2* = 1
Not ranked = 2

 

[Swamp Donkey]

For the stars don’t matter crowd of the first round picks last night...

5* = 8
4* = 10
3* = 11
2* = 1
Not ranked = 2

"The NCAA said in 2013 there were 310,000-some seniors playing football. Here’s how long their odds are to reach various recruiting ratings, using class of 2018 data from Rivals, if we settle on 300,000 football-playing seniors as a fair estimate.

• 30 five-stars, or 0.01 percent of the class
• 380 four-stars, or 0.13 percent of the class
• 1,328 three-stars, or 0.44 percent of the class
• 1,859 two-stars, or 0.62 percent of the class
• 296,403 unrated, or 98.88 percent of the class"

So, for our mathematically ignorant people, @Jbossgator8 @Ancient Reptile @GatorMan5K etc, would you rather have a:

8/30 chance (5 stars)
10/380 (4 stars)
11/1328 (3 stars)
1/1859 (2 stars)

 

[Ancient Reptile]

"The NCAA said in 2013 there were 310,000-some seniors playing football. Here’s how long their odds are to reach various recruiting ratings, using class of 2018 data from Rivals, if we settle on 300,000 football-playing seniors as a fair estimate.

• 30 five-stars, or 0.01 percent of the class
• 380 four-stars, or 0.13 percent of the class
• 1,328 three-stars, or 0.44 percent of the class
• 1,859 two-stars, or 0.62 percent of the class
• 296,403 unrated, or 98.88 percent of the class"

So, for our mathematically ignorant people, @Jbossgator8 @Ancient Reptile @GatorMan5K etc, would you rather have a:

8/30 chance (5 stars)
10/380 (4 stars)
11/1328 (3 stars)
1/1859 (2 stars)

Nothing surprising here. Off-the-wall question: who were the coaches for the 11 three stars?

 

[SeabeeGator]

"The NCAA said in 2013 there were 310,000-some seniors playing football. Here’s how long their odds are to reach various recruiting ratings, using class of 2018 data from Rivals, if we settle on 300,000 football-playing seniors as a fair estimate.

• 30 five-stars, or 0.01 percent of the class
• 380 four-stars, or 0.13 percent of the class
• 1,328 three-stars, or 0.44 percent of the class
• 1,859 two-stars, or 0.62 percent of the class
• 296,403 unrated, or 98.88 percent of the class"

So, for our mathematically ignorant people, @Jbossgator8 @Ancient Reptile @GatorMan5K etc, would you rather have a:

8/30 chance (5 stars)
10/380 (4 stars)
11/1328 (3 stars)
1/1859 (2 stars)

I thought you didn’t care about draft success when discussing recruiting?

 

[Swamp Donkey]

I thought you didn’t care about draft success when discussing recruiting?

I don't particularly but the results are approximately the same for say, all conference selections, which do matter a lot.

 

[Ancient Reptile]

I thought you didn’t care about draft success when discussing recruiting?

Did you also think that he was logically consistent?

 

[SeabeeGator]

I don't particularly but the results are approximately the same for say, all conference selections, which do matter a lot.

Hmmm... I’d be interested to see this laid out. For some reason - and I can’t back this up readily - I thought Rivals was a better predictor of college success and 247 was a better draft predictor.

 

[SeabeeGator]

Did you also think that he was logically consistent?

lol hell no. I expect him to play whichever side benefits his argument at that moment in time but in a non-committal sorta way.

 

[Swamp Donkey]

Hmmm... I’d be interested to see this laid out. For some reason - and I can’t back this up readily - I thought Rivals was a better predictor of college success and 247 was a better draft predictor.

It might be. I know Rivals is a better predictor of who will be a championship team.

 

[SeabeeGator]

It might be. I know Rivals is a better predictor of who will be a championship team.

Either way... at this point, I don’t care what service we look at because they all show us lagging behind our supposed peers (not convinced it’s true or even close).

 

[Swamp Donkey]

lol hell no. I expect him to play whichever side benefits his argument at that moment in time but in a non-committal sorta way.

No, just pre-empting before he gets here