Can you believe LSU is favored by 13?

ChiefGator

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It is pretty simple, we have not played a really good team, and we have not had a complete game except against over matched opponents. I am surprised it is not more.
 

5-Star Finger

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Better than these?!?

850--5--1.png
Elmer Fudd could be Coach O's speech therapist.
 

aka

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I bought a Looney Tunes box set and indoctrinated my kids, now in their twenties, with classic cartoons. We love "The Barber of Seville".
 

deuce

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It is pretty simple, we have not played a really good team, and we have not had a complete game except against over matched opponents. I am surprised it is not more.

Auburn was being talked about as a Bowl Playoff Team until they play us and you say we haven't played a really good team....... :headslap:


Good Grief!
 

T REX

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Florida wins this one by double digits. After it’s over, people are going to wonder aloud how the hell LSU was ranked so high.
We win by double digits at night at lsu...and I'll pick us to beat UGA. Trasks turnovers are a major problem. But I like where your head is at.
 

5-Star Finger

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We win by double digits at night at lsu...and I'll pick us to beat UGA. Trasks turnovers are a major problem. But I like where your head is at.

From my admittedly amateur experience teaching young QBs the internal clock is one of the easiest things to fix. I think that is the source of the turnovers. He's moving through the progressions but not mindful enough of how much time the line can legitimately give him.
 

aka

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I watched a bunch of clips of the game and while he does get rid of it quickly and runs progressions well, some of those passes to the flat on the outside were awfully close. LSU will try to jump those if he's off at all.
 

Gator By Marriage

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I bought a Looney Tunes box set and indoctrinated my kids, now in their twenties, with classic cartoons. We love "The Barber of Seville".
When my kids were little we got them DVDs of Looney Tunes and The Pink Panther. First time they watched them was in the car heading down to visit the in-laws in Florida. They laughed for about two hours straight. Every now and then Mrs. G. would crane her neck to see what episode they were watching and let me know. We'd then both share a few laughs of scenes we remembered.
 

jmskjrgator

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LSU is about to play against a defense
like they haven’t seen for twelve months.
I cannot believe the bookies haven’t seen
what this defense is doing. They make a living doing so. Shame on them. I would also jump on F$U +27. F$U is starting to improve with Briles’ system. And Clemson is not a powerhouse this year.
 

FireFoley

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LSU is about to play against a defense
like they haven’t seen for twelve months.
I cannot believe the bookies haven’t seen
what this defense is doing
. They make a living doing so. Shame on them. I would also jump on F$U +27. F$U is starting to improve with Briles’ system. And Clemson is not a powerhouse this year.

On the surface your point is valid, but bookies/odds makers only care about one thing: How will the betting public perceive a game and the line will be set to attract equal money on each side. I have not heard any talk about a major move in the number since it has been set so I am guessing as of now they got it correct, but there is always the late money still to come in
 

BadowGator

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Out of curiosity I revisited the line they put out for the LSU Texas game. LSU -6.5 and O/U of 57. Obviously the over was crushed. Aside from that though, it tells me oddsmakers have been pretty high on LSU from the jump. Digging a little further into that line. Outside of one honestly brilliant throw and catch to clinch the game from Burrows, Texas covers and oddsmakers for future games (especially ours) change their mindset entirely. The fact that LSU has covered every single game this season is a testament to the -13 line.

When outsiders see any team in any sport with a 5-0 cover for the season they immediately gravitate to that team. It’s human nature. The line set that extreme is partially due to the fact that there are a lot of bettors out there riding that 5-0 LSU win streak and the oddsmakers I promise you are on our side this week in the hopes of recouping some of their losses.
 

Swamp Donkey

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I’d rather them be favored by 35. The more the merrier.
Id rather every team we play fear we will kill them by 50 and every person have us penciled in to the championship game bc we had elite talent and an elite championship coach.
 

Swamp Donkey

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Give me an ugly win over a pretty loss any day of the week and twice on Sunday.

That leaves to wonder if a pretty loss is the same as a moral victory?
Ask all the Butter pumpers.

They were impressed that we scored vs Trailerbammer and almost scored vs Clowntown.
 

itsgr82bag8r

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Id rather every team we play fear we will kill them by 50 and every person have us penciled in to the championship game bc we had elite talent and an elite championship coach.

I guess I just like crushing the spirit out of opponents who believe they’re superior.

I just means more. :grin:
 

Durty South Swamp

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I can see why the line is 13+.... The Gator boys haven't played a "crisp" game yet. Miami, sloppy W, UK, Sloppy W, Barn, Sloppy W.
LSU looks better and the line reflects it.

But I'll take a sloppy W over a crisp L every day. And I'll admit I didn't expect a W against the barn, Their game against MSU fooled me too.
Personally I prefer a sloppy B, followed immediately by an even sloppier J.

That's just me though...
 

lagator

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OU is 54.5 and PS is 13.5. So if you subtract the 13.5 from the total you get 41 points. Half of that is what we are projected to score. Vegas doesn't have very much regard for our offense and is overvaluing LSU's defense significantly. The easiest bet on this is probably taking the over on UF. I still like the money line hedged with a bet taking the points also.
 

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