I hate Lunardi and Palm. Both constantly overseed other teams at the expense of us. Since the Top 16 was released we lost 1 game to a probable 2 seed while Duke has lost 2 or 3 games and might lose 2 more. No way should they be better than us. This is why I did my bracketology this year. I wanted to see how I would compare to the actual one myself. I think Bracket Matrix is the best. One of the brackets on there actually just predicts how they think the season will turn out and the subsequent seeds. It has us as a 1 seed (winning the SEC Tournament). It uses a bunch of math also. Very interesting to look at.
http://barttorvik.com/tranketology.php
It also gives you a place that you can enter your own weighted amounts for the categories/info they used in their system to create your own.
Back to US....we don't have some of the amazing wins as some of the similar teams to us, but we have a much harder schedule, no bad losses (Butler, Duke, FSU etc), and we have a bunch of road and neutral site wins...some bracketologist pass this over where the committee puts a lot of weight into them