Predicting Florida's 2017 Record

[TN G8tr]

If what you're saying is true we would be 4-4 and out of any contention for even a divisional title in October....Mac would be TOAST.....I'm not disagreeing because I don't see us being significantly better than anyone on the schedule up to that point except N.Colorado. The other thing that would be a crushing blow is that it would all but ensure a 0-3 record against our rivals and nobody survives here after dropping a 6-6 turd with losses to all 3 rivals, nobody.....

Now here's the wild card in that scenario and a more likely one IMO....If we beat UT we would more than likely end up 7-5. At that point does McButters and staff get their walking papers? Or do we hear cry's of 2 out of 3 East Titles is the new UF standard?
Now before anyone chimes in with the "you're not a Gator fan" let me also say that if Mac somehow pulls 10 wins out of his a$$ this year I would say he probably deserves consideration for Coach of the Year, he will also have beaten 2 ranked teams to do so to get to that record....Not as likely of a scenario if you ask me based on what we have on paper going into this season. Prove me wrong Mac or take a hike is what I say.

Crete I think it will really have to go south for Mac to get Whacked and cut loose. You're scenario is a recipe for that to happen but I am reserved to the fact that if it gets bad, Mac gets the 2018 season. I more than anything hope that he makes vast improvement. But I am at the point we've got to see it on the field, period.

 

[GatorStud]

In this OP matter, I'm going qualitative. If somehow, someway, we have a QB emerge that can actually, you have to pinch yourself to believe it, throw the completed ball vertically >15 yards half dozen times a game (not the panic looking, herniated effort sideline to sideline nonsense of the past but move the chains now stuff), I see our ground game and offense rumble to 10-2, 9-3. Go Gators!

 

[NovaGator]

They have us going 9-3 with losses to LSU,UGA,and Rape U. I think we get 1 of the 2 between LSU/UGA and we have 2 beat FSU this yr...no more excuses!

http://florida.247sports.com/Galler...UFs-2017-season-52608796/GallerySlides/545789

9 and 3 is a realistic forecast for 2017, with loses to Georgia, LSU, and the Nolies.
Hope for a better season than 9 & 3 rests in the hands of Franks.

 

[Concrete Helmet]

In this OP matter, I'm going qualitative. If somehow, someway, we have a QB emerge that can actually, you have to pinch yourself to believe it, throw the completed ball vertically >15 yards half dozen times a game (not the panic looking, herniated effort sideline to sideline nonsense of the past but move the chains now stuff), I see our ground game and offense rumble to 10-2, 9-3. Go Gators!

I see what you're saying about the passing game but it's gonna take a little bigger leap in the passing game to also make up for the drop off on defense. I'm not saying we are gonna be terrible on defense but there's no way you lose guys like Brantley, Davis, AA, Ivie, Wilson, Tabor and Maye(all 2& 3 year starters) and not drop off quite a bit....In other words we're going to have to score a heckuva lot more points to win game's against marginal teams like UK, UT, LSU, and Michigan. We won't be able get 14-17 points on the board and turtle up like the last 2 years....I'm not even including TAMU and FSU because I see both of them putting up close to 40 if not more.... Mac's gonna have to roll th dice and take the training wheels off one of the very inexperienced QB's and hope for the best. Imagine 2007 without Tebow and Harvin and that's about where we are with this team.

 

[Omar's Coming Yo!]

6-6 or 7-5. Offense ranked in the 90s and defense in the 50s. Mac is given another year to "fix" things. Chip Kelly signs elsewhere

 

[stephenPE]

I see what you're saying about the passing game but it's gonna take a little bigger leap in the passing game to also make up for the drop off on defense. I'm not saying we are gonna be terrible on defense but there's no way you lose guys like Brantley, Davis, AA, Ivie, Wilson, Tabor and Maye(all 2& 3 year starters) and not drop off quite a bit....In other words we're going to have to score a heckuva lot more points to win game's against marginal teams like UK, UT, LSU, and Michigan. We won't be able get 14-17 points on the board and turtle up like the last 2 years....I'm not even including TAMU and FSU because I see both of them putting up close to 40 if not more.... Mac's gonna have to roll th dice and take the training wheels off one of the very inexperienced QB's and hope for the best. Imagine 2007 without Tebow and Harvin and that's about where we are with this team.

I agree about the QBs. But I think our Def, (without too many injuries) is gonna still be pretty good.......fingers crossed

 

[Gator Fever]

6-6 or 7-5. Offense ranked in the 90s and defense in the 50s. Mac is given another year to "fix" things. Chip Kelly signs elsewhere

50s? I doubt that - I think it was still in the 30s even during that 2007 season where it had so many problems.

Is he still available? If so I could see us getting him possibly if Mac somehow went 6-6 and no big team out west was looking for a coach. Kelly would want back in college after a year off I would think.

 

[ThreatMatrix]

Defense won't be as good, offense better be better blah blah. That's all subjective. The question is how much worse and how much better. Last year we had the 6th ranked scoring defense and the 107th ranked scoring offense. So how much worse do you expect the defense to be 16th? 26th? 36th? Then how much better do you expect the offense to be able to get. I seriously doubt the defense falls out of the 20's and I can't remember the last time we were. The last time defenses had to respect our passing game was the first half of 2015 and at mid season we were ranked 60th in scoring offense (and 6-0). We lost two regular season games that year - once the passing game was gone. So with a passing game we have no worse than a 60th ranked offense and even with a realistic drop in defense to the mid 20's we're looking at 2 regular season losses. Plug in you're own assumptions.

Scoring Defense
6 th (UF) 16.8 ppg
16th (Army) 19.8 ppg (-3)
26th (Ohio) 22.6 ppg (-5.8)
36th (Vandy) 24 ppg (-7.2)

Scoring Offense
107 (UF) 23.9
77 (E.Car) 27 (+3.1)
60 (Utah) 29.8 (+5.9)
51 (Colo) 31.1 (+7.2)

 

[Bama&GatorFan]

SI is not giving a lot of love to the Gators. I think the Gators will do well this year, with a better passing game and a killer kicking game. But Georgia looks good, too, in the east SEC.

Why are they loving on FSU? They had a true freshman get 87 yards in the spring game? No big deal.

https://www.si.com/college-football/2017/05/09/post-spring-early-power-rankings-top-25

 

[gators4224]

Tough ones = texas a&m, FSU, georgia, LSU, michigan

These are all tough games but all are winnable. There are no games where you'd say "yeah we have no shot in that one. "

 

[TheBigClaw]

People that still believe chip Kelly is coming here

 

[URGatorBait]

People that still believe chip Kelly is coming here

He will NEVER be the coach of UF...never.

 

[Durty South Swamp]

There are no games where you'd say "yeah we have no shot in that one

LOLz

 

[Swamp Donkey]

People that still believe chip Kelly is coming here

Dont crush Ox' dream.

 

[TheDouglas78]

Dont crush Ox' dream.

Apparently Ox isn't the only one.

 

[T REX]

I'd take Kelly in a second over the QB Transferer.

 

[ufgator812]

If the QB quandary is solved, 10-3. (+/- 1 game)


Or it may be the bourbon again.....

 

[Gator Fever]

Defense won't be as good, offense better be better blah blah. That's all subjective. The question is how much worse and how much better. Last year we had the 6th ranked scoring defense and the 107th ranked scoring offense. So how much worse do you expect the defense to be 16th? 26th? 36th? Then how much better do you expect the offense to be able to get. I seriously doubt the defense falls out of the 20's and I can't remember the last time we were. The last time defenses had to respect our passing game was the first half of 2015 and at mid season we were ranked 60th in scoring offense (and 6-0). We lost two regular season games that year - once the passing game was gone. So with a passing game we have no worse than a 60th ranked offense and even with a realistic drop in defense to the mid 20's we're looking at 2 regular season losses. Plug in you're own assumptions.

Scoring Defense
6 th (UF) 16.8 ppg
16th (Army) 19.8 ppg (-3)
26th (Ohio) 22.6 ppg (-5.8)
36th (Vandy) 24 ppg (-7.2)

Scoring Offense
107 (UF) 23.9
77 (E.Car) 27 (+3.1)
60 (Utah) 29.8 (+5.9)
51 (Colo) 31.1 (+7.2)

Well to think on how bad it could get. We kicked but on offense in 07 and still lost 3 games pre-bowl due to the defense dropping to the 30s I think. Do we think this offense could keep it to 3 losses pre-bowl back in 07? I doubt anyone does.

In 14 and last year just like in 15 we were a lot higher in offense early also until playing the other SEC teams and FSU.

 

[Swamp Donkey]

If the QB quandary is solved, 10-3. (+/- 1 game)
Or it may be the bourbon again.....

You've been in the bourbon already.

 

[NVGator]

Anyone want to update their predictions?

Below is mine from May. I might would add either Missouri or South Carolina as a loss now. 6-6.

7-5

*Michigan (in Dallas) - L
Northern Colorado - W
Tennessee - W
@ Kentucky - L
Vanderbilt - W
Louisiana State - L
Texas A&M - W
*Georgia (in Jacksonville) - L
@ Missouri - W
@ South Carolina - W
Alabama Birmingham - W
Florida State - L