Matty Ice seems to think that we'll end up at #1 and he certainly knows more about who will sign than anyone else. However, we would have to sign at least 25, drop a couple of the lower ranked commits and land a couple that don't appear to be likely at the time.
For instance, if we drop Williams and Gammage and then get Pierce, Copeland, Schwartz, Barnes, Petit-Frere, Gouraige, Parsons, Silvera, Tindall, Surtain, Campbell and Tyreke Johnson then we would have 26 signees and a score of 310.24. That score would have a very good chance of being the top ranked class.
However, I think it's doubtful we get all of those players.
If you take Surtain out the score drops to 303.64 which would still have a decent shot at being the top ranked class.
If you take out Surtain and Parsons then the score drops to 296.38 and would likely be a top 2 or 3 class.
Of course, there's always the chance that we will land players that aren't in the mix at the current time. Also, the player rankings will change over the course of the season.
I think top 5 appears to be attainable, top 3 is certainly possible, but #1 is a long shot.