How many will transfer out before next year if he stays? I'd guess at least half of those who don't give the NBA a shot.
Maybe a better question is, “who wants to sit out next year, or play Div II ball?”, because that’s the result if a player transfers.
Obviously Blackshear and Sutherland, our Seniors, are finished after this year.
Of the three juniors, Bassett, Appleby, and Duruji, I could see Appleby transferring for a Div II school to get more playing time his senior year. Maybe Bassett transfers too, though he’s getting PT now and will likely see more next year with Blackshear gone. Duruji is sitting out this year after transferring from La Tech, so he’s not going anywhere.
The three sophomores, Nembhard, Johnson, and Locke are all getting plenty of PT. It would make no sense for any of them to transfer, though I could see Johnson, and maybe Nembhard, testing the NBA waters.
Of the six freshmen, Mann, Glover, Lewis, and Jitoboh are getting a good amount of playing time. If Nembhard stays, maybe one of the either Mann or Glover transfer, but it doesn’t seem likely. Klesky is probably the most likely to transfer since he’s seen no playing time (is he injured?) this season. Scottie is a one-and-done possibility, so NBA maybe, but very unlikely to transfer. That leaves Omar Payne as a possible transfer, but he knows he’s got a lot of developing to do and could see a lot more playingtime once Blackshear is gone
So the short version is that it is unlikely that any of the non-scrub players will transfer unless White encourages them to leave. Regardless of how much any of us dislike White, the impact on a player transferring is a strong deterrent to leaving the team whose coach isn’t any different than the coach they signed up with a year or two ago.